Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e696545b509c1632199f5623c6baf73b4eefa565654b28d4e0d9a6bdcd7520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 6c | 13,909$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.36 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 60c | 13,447$8,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.43 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 46c | 7,317$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.59 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 22c | 5,054$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.72 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.99 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 36c | 4,220$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.44 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,110$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.21 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…5ffebacked Yes | 26c | 3,753$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.31 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 33c | 3,715$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.53 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 63c | 3,147$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.24 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 12c | 2,974$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.09 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 54c | 2,930$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.32 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 2,883$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.71 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,600$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.7 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed Yes | 42c | 2,427$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.38 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 36c | 2,337$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.93 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 6c | 2,299$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 44c | 2,254$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 16c | 2,057$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.07 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed No | 56c | 2,033$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.51 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 33c | 1,597$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.84 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 44c | 1,590$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.69 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked No | 64c | 1,561$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.9 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 74c | 1,540$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 57c | 1,411$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 53c | 1,395$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.87 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 46c | 1,291$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.1 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 7c | 1,272$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 152 | 21.1%32 W · 120 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 1,254$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.77 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 1,234$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.52 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 24c | 1,227$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.62 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 56c | 1,209$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.14 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 1,208$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 1,203$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.42 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…82b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,172$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 57c | 1,165$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.51 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes | 51c | 1,128$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.85 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…9019backed Yes | 44c | 1,071$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…ee5cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 57c | 991.94$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.83 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 984.58$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 42c | 951.51$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.18 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…583ebacked Yes | 31c | 947.25$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.82 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 41c | 909.8$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.92 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…989bbacked Yes | 48c | 904.99$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.45 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 25c | 850$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 50c | 841.08$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.49 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 798.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.37 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed No | 70c | 798.92$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 35c | 796.7$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.14 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 46c | 752.17$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.51 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 49c | 707.31$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.1 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 29c | 699.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 67c | 675$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 671.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes | 35c | 659.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 71c | 639.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 48c | 626.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…6906backed Yes | 16c | 623.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…b90abacked Yes | 2c | 617.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…be66backed No | 78c | 611.1$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 608$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.21 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 38c | 600.06$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +147%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 8%8 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 59c | 599.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 47c | 599.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 52c | 580.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 55c | 556.66$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 543.09$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.17 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…79d8backed Yes | 49c | 520$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 50c | 517.32$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 29c | 514.32$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 31c | 497.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 34c | 493.29$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 42c | 491.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 11c | 490.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 61c | 490.01$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…c2a0backed No | 57c | 480.11$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 59c | 453.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 50c | 447.74$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Yes | 29c | 445.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 62c | 444.82$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked No | 42c | 443.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.26 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed No | 72c | 439.68$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…5ffbbacked Yes | 49c | 409.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…b351backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 52c | 393.41$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 52c | 384.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 19c | 383.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 80c | 382.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…718ebacked Yes | 17c | 375.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…aff2backed Yes | 26c | 374.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 33c | 371.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…386bbacked No | 59c | 371.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 48c | 370.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.