Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94598de206b9eee47f530c2f6717d049324de5926ce82dacc422b83f9b052791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 0c | 27,635$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 55c | 12,684$6,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,690.36 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 48c | 9,240$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.82 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 9,168$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.78 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 9c | 8,575$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.36 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked No | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7135backed No | 54c | 4,693$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.56 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -96%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…9b27backed Yes | 79c | 3,721$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked No | 4c | 3,606$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 72c | 3,531$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.91 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed Yes | 57c | 3,516$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.87 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 47c | 3,352$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.56 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 34c | 3,249$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.24 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 50c | 3,227$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.67 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 32c | 2,883$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.66 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 45c | 2,769$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.28 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,744$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.25 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 70c | 2,687$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.34 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 47c | 2,226$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.87 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,138$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.47 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 63c | 2,100$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.75 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f7ffbacked No | 55c | 1,781$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.21 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 64c | 1,700$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.99 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed No | 54c | 1,700$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.14 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,697$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.77 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,593$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.44 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 25c | 1,542$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.97 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 49c | 1,421$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.46 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…c563backed Yes | 51c | 1,405$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 79c | 1,350$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 45c | 1,344$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.38 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…a929backed Yes | 63c | 1,292$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 46c | 1,261$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,250$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.9 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 1,208$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.68 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 51c | 1,200$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.48 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes | 44c | 1,200$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,191$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.72 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 45c | 1,179$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.68 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…9f3fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,166$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,138$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.03 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 61c | 1,047$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 1,039$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.44 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,020$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 59c | 1,018$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.11 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 50c | 1,005$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.8 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…e6f7backed No | 26c | 1,001$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.11 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…fe01backed No | 55c | 989.23$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.4 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 17c | 961.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 56c | 951$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.74 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 942.37$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.88 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 44c | 923.59$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.28 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 884.95$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.44 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 868.22$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4e…e3a2backed No | 29c | 862.38$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 99 | 21.2%21 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 41c | 804.38$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed No | 64c | 800.42$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.49 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…989bbacked Yes | 62c | 784.96$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…a20abacked Yes | 51c | 780.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 52c | 727.93$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.38 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 51c | 723.02$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 23c | 710.34$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0acf…edf9backed Yes | 51c | 685.28$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 75c | 637.46$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 25c | 621.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 616$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 35c | 615.94$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 56c | 609.98$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.89 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed No | 25c | 599.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 44c | 596.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.46 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 56c | 591.85$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.69 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 43c | 572.88$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 32c | 570.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked No | 4c | 563.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 57c | 562.54$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.89 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…6d4cbacked No | 31c | 520.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…0d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 509.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 49c | 500.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.96 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed No | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked No | 40c | 496.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 58c | 480.63$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…0190backed No | 37c | 479.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 62c | 467.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 16c | 451.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…23c2backed No | 52c | 451$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 58c | 439.66$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…386bbacked Yes | 54c | 423.01$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…5ffbbacked Yes | 53c | 415.2$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 50c | 406.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…dc7abacked No | 56c | 399.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 45c | 399.01$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.28 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…72bfbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 50c | 389$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…79d8backed Yes | 50c | 382.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.85 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…aff2backed Yes | 73c | 375.21$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…1b7fbacked No | 57c | 367.63$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 55c | 366.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 37c | 364.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 3c | 356.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.