TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,168,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,902,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,168,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,850 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e4c…dba2backed No57c822,441$469,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352,442.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No79c546,362$429,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,697.3274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1887…678abacked No60c468,690$279,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,087.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No80c395,636$316,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,127.2433538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes43c232,558$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0006237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes43c228,961$98,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,453.3949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c212,251$60,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,569.862,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes36c187,451$67,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,165.1277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes23c184,247$42,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,903.154151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes21c161,369$33,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,887.522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No79c150,000$119,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,00015249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes20c150,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes20c145,597$29,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,812.6115844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81da…a109backed Yes20c99,500$20,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,1502085%17 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+82.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c85,692$17,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,372.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No79c79,339$62,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,356.9329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c77,162$14,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,882.271,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes28c67,620$18,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,880.4638734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No78c63,999$50,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,919.8820044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes20c52,164$10,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,474.881,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes24c52,000$12,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,4805839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes20c47,085$9,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,41717452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…8cc2backed Yes52c46,154$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0001020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes43c44,207$19,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,00932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes23c43,679$9,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,889.251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes35c41,647$14,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,714.243426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes20c40,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes43c37,704$16,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,034.3716244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes24c35,613$8,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,479.14025%10 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…fb57backed Yes59c32,389$19,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,109.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes19c32,316$6,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,237.9717842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed Yes55c32,154$17,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,8001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a8…a539backed Yes12c30,183$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,577.28147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…dc48backed Yes24c27,517$6,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.982536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked No80c27,243$21,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,448.573046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No67c25,295$16,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,315.511,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked Yes20c24,440$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-85.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c24,349$6,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,179.6879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9a…2596backed Yes49c22,283$10,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,991.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes30c21,843$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c21,420$16,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.071,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8a…f2d9backed Yes46c20,018$9,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,208.062962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No60c18,913$11,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,526.3229333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…3f1cbacked No62c17,586$10,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,747.3724939%97 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No79c15,089$11,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.6647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No79c15,000$11,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.9750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c14,560$5,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,959.341,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No79c14,500$11,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.9348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No74c14,409$10,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.416833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c14,098$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,716.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No79c14,000$11,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes49c13,365$6,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,491.1718543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes21c12,230$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.4825031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes39c11,649$4,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,523.5619738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e6…28babacked Yes20c11,535$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Yes59c11,442$6,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,719.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes51c11,111$5,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.617545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked No79c10,688$8,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.446536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Yes11c10,674$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.510942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8473…8f23backed Yes21c10,617$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.4610937.6%41 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdafe…c5b5backed No47c10,377$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.951376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+57.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No61c10,355$6,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.968357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes39c10,204$4,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,013.742,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes42c10,001$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.4288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Yes20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed No79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9115335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No80c9,600$7,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaf…97e2backed Yes9c9,564$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes50c9,561$4,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.2756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes29c9,085$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.830117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02c…ffd5backed Yes51c8,766$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4301241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c8,401$6,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.092,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Yes41c8,264$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.27345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Yes25c8,022$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.2121738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9207129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa137…9ac4backed Yes31c7,944$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-58.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes41c7,888$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.1510562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes20c7,854$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.33132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes14c7,676$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0554829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No57c7,663$4,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.6945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…bbb5backed Yes21c7,619$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d6…9289backed Yes6c7,546$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes22c7,153$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.2184738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes21c7,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes29c7,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed No53c7,000$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2601145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes42c7,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9405240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…708bbacked Yes24c6,787$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.712240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Yes45c6,742$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0156233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes45c6,643$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.1320856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No73c6,604$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.4931945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8409…35ebbacked Yes41c6,531$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Yes46c6,522$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No79c6,435$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.7931945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x506b…b0febacked Yes40c6,400$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5806111.5%7 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes38c6,345$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.0642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No79c6,055$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.66929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No80c6,050$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.2530751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.