Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb5cc69802663657da33ab2bbc8697f08faea2c57468bde75a1282730b7a7b75

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,117,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,117,535 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x139f…c148backed No	0c	244,628$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No	0c	150,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	15c	133,852$20,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,202.26	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb623…4203backed No	15c	130,434$20,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,071.09	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2be4backed No	19c	129,526$25,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,185.75	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9683…108bbacked No	2c	93,897$1,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,696.81	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8236…4226backed No	16c	92,702$15,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,120.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked No	3c	92,201$2,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,485.27	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.23per pick	31cpaid	-89.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82cf…0998backed No	0c	68,515$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.52	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc450…6b80backed No	3c	54,785$1,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,914.53	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed No	18c	53,951$9,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,466.25	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…f340backed No	20c	49,583$9,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,919.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked No	8c	48,559$3,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,720	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.14per pick	25cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4fc1…8360backed No	5c	46,521$2,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,420.65	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d1d…256abacked No	2c	44,040$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.16	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a8…445cbacked No	1c	43,957$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed No	10c	42,437$4,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,382.16	159	41.5%66 W · 93 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94e1…97efbacked No	15c	41,788$6,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,254.47	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db7…e0d8backed No	1c	41,690$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.13	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ff…58a7backed No	3c	41,413$1,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No	6c	41,324$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.52	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed No	27c	40,492$11,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,132.1	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09db…638ebacked No	0c	40,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc424…e5ecbacked No	15c	39,912$5,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,967.02	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+30%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a0…776abacked No	10c	37,577$3,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,736.86	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+48%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed No	5c	35,550$1,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,852.43	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204b…6a5cbacked No	10c	35,359$3,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,532.84	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca72…30cdbacked No	12c	35,242$4,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,186.88	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed No	0c	35,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…bf45backed No	20c	34,025$6,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,784.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	17c	33,111$5,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,783.16	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No	12c	33,043$3,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,848.58	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	+13.8wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc212…46c0backed No	0c	32,937$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.98	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e2…b8f5backed No	0c	32,396$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.73	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No	0c	31,000$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fb…b06dbacked Yes	77c	30,835$23,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,197.16	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…be2cbacked No	34c	30,146$10,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,271.13	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.35per pick	45cpaid	+140.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d9…68a3backed No	2c	28,613$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9969…a641backed No	1c	28,347$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bc…f954backed Yes	56c	27,444$15,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,173.87	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8392…b94ebacked No	31c	25,743$8,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,094.53	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a49…7d21backed No	2c	24,731$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.87	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed No	16c	24,518$3,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,906.12	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd64e…5516backed No	24c	23,000$5,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,574	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa173…3315backed No	10c	23,000$2,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,271.95	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed No	14c	22,830$3,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,298.28	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+4.6wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x22d1…b52bbacked No	10c	22,000$2,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,220.99	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f4…c234backed Yes	70c	21,760$15,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,611.35	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba31…d1dfbacked No	2c	21,723$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.78	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No	27c	21,500$5,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,849.42	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f4…0f4abacked No	1c	21,264$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.8wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x407c…49aabacked No	3c	20,933$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.87	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked No	19c	20,209$3,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,807.33	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745b…0b9abacked No	22c	20,144$4,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,436.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87c8…1c42backed No	1c	20,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde31…938cbacked No	0c	20,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed No	0c	19,996$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.97	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e0…c3c4backed No	14c	19,663$2,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,673.06	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	0c	19,113$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.34	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab4…716bbacked No	21c	18,761$3,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,869.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce33…795dbacked No	3c	18,532$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x621c…3715backed No	5c	18,353$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9540…90e9backed No	16c	17,567$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2208…f6f5backed No	0c	17,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0238…83aabacked No	7c	17,220$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6c…6bc7backed No	0c	17,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7903…e8a1backed No	30c	16,796$5,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,016.4	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aff…7035backed No	17c	16,588$2,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,871.15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x869c…2483backed Yes	55c	16,494$9,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,375.51	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x69d2…ab1fbacked No	30c	16,472$4,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,939.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x048d…27abbacked No	1c	15,976$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f9…c5e8backed No	10c	15,362$1,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586.62	60	63.3%38 W · 22 L	+17.9wins	+0.30per pick	34cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked No	13c	15,332$2,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,058.97	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed No	0c	15,000$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936e…473fbacked No	23c	14,872$3,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,355.58	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	15c	14,790$2,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,255.01	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a91…ac8fbacked No	29c	14,392$4,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,113.84	37	75.7%28 W · 9 L	+7.8wins	+0.21per pick	55cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4d4d…b3f4backed No	8c	13,765$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.9	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+10.3wins	+0.15per pick	32cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ff7…c869backed No	19c	13,425$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,592.25	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6539…f6cdbacked No	16c	13,386$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,153.07	99	20.2%20 W · 79 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked No	5c	13,195$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.58	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No	6c	13,167$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.84	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1a…5225backed No	12c	12,692$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbbd1…6feebacked No	13c	12,435$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.03	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	35cpaid	+14%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc05…013abacked No	15c	12,148$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785.5	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.9wins	+0.30per pick	39cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked No	16c	11,913$1,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,923.81	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No	11c	11,451$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,258.14	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked No	1c	11,410$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.61	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+88.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	9c	10,958$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.72	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b9…d5babacked No	10c	10,923$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.19	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849b…e7a5backed No	17c	10,837$1,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,843.24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-74%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…deb7backed No	19c	10,690$2,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,064.23	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x356a…bfeabacked No	9c	10,651$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.46	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+265%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked No	1c	10,293$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9e…d190backed No	0c	10,213$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes	69c	10,140$7,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,114.04	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b6…80b9backed No	15c	10,136$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.93	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	1c	10,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?this page
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event