Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cbce58aa0894f5a920cf9096e5ee664c486535c84e55e65b2245d8306e818d4

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $312,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,352 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	26,435$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.85	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3107…a26fbacked Yes	1c	26,101$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.08	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…cde2backed Yes	1c	14,158$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f73…17b6backed Yes	2c	8,320$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.44	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	8c	7,860$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.32	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	1c	6,822$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.24	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	-20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x636e…579abacked Yes	13c	3,966$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	3,676$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.63	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes	6c	3,413$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.79	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba27…3f88backed Yes	4c	3,000$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	2c	2,748$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb8…77d7backed Yes	1c	2,733$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.68	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2f…61eebacked Yes	17c	2,433$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.99	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe315…1adebacked Yes	21c	2,420$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x793c…6c5dbacked Yes	15c	2,026$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.96	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	3c	1,995$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.96	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Yes	1c	1,488$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+257.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	2c	1,458$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecb…3960backed Yes	7c	1,442$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc821…6a7ebacked Yes	1c	1,419$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3875…1fd2backed No	79c	1,334$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.07	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02db…9e74backed Yes	1c	1,315$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.73	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…9a5ebacked No	79c	1,150$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	1,013$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4df…6f05backed Yes	18c	983.29$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b33…1497backed Yes	1c	880.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x916a…0c81backed Yes	6c	855.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed No	79c	845.67$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.05	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…425abacked Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca99…d9e7backed Yes	10c	809.82$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.96	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked Yes	17c	783.26$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3b…3cbbbacked Yes	2c	778.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes	2c	768.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaef…176ebacked Yes	8c	725$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	713.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes	2c	682.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	111	24.3%27 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+153.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	675.53$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.39	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0789…c0e2backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85de…3717backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	2c	499.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239f…09d8backed Yes	8c	499.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa5…427abacked Yes	18c	499.96$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ac…8151backed Yes	5c	486.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	4c	449.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	4c	445.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	19c	427.74$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.45	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	3c	407.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac08…080cbacked No	79c	399.37$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.9	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204b…6a5cbacked No	65c	390.57$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.81	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	347.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x282c…f007backed No	80c	323.46$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.46	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes	13c	311.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	80c	300$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	153	62.7%96 W · 57 L	+22.4wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes	21c	299.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed Yes	18c	281$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.58	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617e…92a3backed Yes	21c	280$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x097a…13a4backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-55%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x495e…0d25backed Yes	8c	260.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19e9…c8a5backed Yes	17c	255.86$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25b9…2970backed No	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55a…1d03backed No	79c	245.67$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb751…8d99backed Yes	11c	241.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.39	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2040…70f4backed Yes	6c	234.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7204…3f55backed Yes	21c	215$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5b…ee17backed Yes	33c	200.26$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.7	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4a5d…9ea3backed No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed No	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2abc…cdb2backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e4…51ecbacked Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes	33c	200$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f77…eaaabacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd046…fbc3backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x638d…56ffbacked Yes	6c	199.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf604…36b3backed Yes	16c	193.54$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.38	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e2…000bbacked Yes	22c	189.55$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.7	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3714…aa6ebacked Yes	23c	173.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd432…ce2dbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…292cbacked Yes	8c	160.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd97…d2a2backed Yes	17c	150$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	70c	150$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5516…09b0backed Yes	19c	144$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb2…9f23backed No	61c	140$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ae…ac23backed No	80c	125.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.42	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	52cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	79c	125.24$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No	79c	125$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.75	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…ec84backed No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61df…e103backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	10c	111.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	16c	110.65$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	204	22.1%45 W · 159 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78b6…30c7backed Yes	15c	105$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec2…5339backed Yes	18c	102.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…a0d7backed Yes	12c	102.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	36c	101$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	212	40.6%86 W · 126 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f2…7027backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d45…97f4backed No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	+11.9wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+54%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7465…f9a4backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…79a9backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…1b61backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?this page
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event