TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb0f…559a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 24.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$48
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halysbacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.7%+$29.75
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit Koprivabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$18.44
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.79
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$25.92
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$80.76
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$73.97
Erste Bank Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$41.85
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$46.43
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.63
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST175.9%1 W · 16 L-10.0wins-0.59per pick65cpaid-92.6%equal weight24-0.24 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$380
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$145
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$133
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$131
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$146
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$121
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$151
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$159
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$89
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$127
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$510
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$973.79
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$124.98
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$137
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25.3%+$303.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$152
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+65.5%+$93.23
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$244
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Duke (-9.5)backed UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$58.62
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+93.6%+$142.34
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$60.58
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$162.5
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$73.97
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+54.3%+$67.91
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$106.21
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$32.48
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wood vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.