NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac87571452772319b1e597d73ed7314c942ffe6fdd829567dc315e7aa5c338a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,539,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,841,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,539,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 903 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Cavaliers | 36c | 1,060,508$386,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674,493.98 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Heat | 64c | 500,000$320,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320,000 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Heat | 63c | 125,000$78,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,750 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Heat | 64c | 71,477$45,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,445.36 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Cavaliers | 34c | 61,000$21,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,959.89 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Heat | 63c | 60,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 63c | 55,000$34,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,650 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 53c | 54,452$28,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,688.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Heat | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,500 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Heat | 65c | 49,137$31,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,938.9 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Cavaliers | 46c | 43,795$20,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,539.16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 50c | 38,096$19,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,202.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 50c | 31,965$15,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,928.83 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 29,303$9,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,388.74 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Cavaliers | 39c | 28,413$11,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,395.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Heat | 51c | 26,202$13,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,324.7 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Cavaliers | 35c | 25,000$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 37c | 24,405$9,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,365.47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 64c | 24,010$15,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,449.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Heat | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Heat | 65c | 19,300$12,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,518 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cavaliers | 39c | 17,775$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,882.74 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 17,335$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600.79 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Heat | 63c | 17,000$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 63c | 16,272$10,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,251.08 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Heat | 64c | 15,617$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.88 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Heat | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Heat | 65c | 11,696$7,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,631.55 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Heat | 17c | 11,607$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Cavaliers | 47c | 11,000$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.7 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 54c | 10,766$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,861.47 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 50c | 10,386$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.32 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Heat | 60c | 10,033$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cavaliers | 32c | 9,888$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,715.95 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…629cbacked Heat | 64c | 9,076$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Heat | 20c | 8,560$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.73 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 7,777$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.41 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Cavaliers | 35c | 7,427$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.94 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 53c | 7,425$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 45c | 7,050$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.35 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Heat | 64c | 6,944$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Cavaliers | 63c | 6,870$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Heat | 67c | 6,868$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.84 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 39c | 6,502$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.16 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heat | 59c | 6,378$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.97 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…6b6abacked Cavaliers | 35c | 6,200$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 46c | 6,142$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.85 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 49c | 6,030$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.81 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Heat | 77c | 5,974$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.62 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers | 43c | 5,902$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.06 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Heat | 65c | 5,500$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Heat | 64c | 5,500$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Cavaliers | 34c | 5,500$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.99 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…5f9abacked Heat | 66c | 5,400$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 65c | 5,074$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.13 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 36c | 4,750$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.07 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Heat | 27c | 4,653$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Heat | 71c | 4,461$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.16 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 47c | 4,451$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 65c | 4,381$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.37 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Heat | 65c | 4,248$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.73 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 35c | 4,150$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 4,060$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.81 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat | 46c | 3,939$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.86 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 52c | 3,891$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.03 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Cavaliers | 26c | 3,876$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.05 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Heat | 38c | 3,583$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.48 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Heat | 65c | 3,500$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Heat | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Cavaliers | 29c | 3,452$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.72 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 63c | 3,333$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Cavaliers | 27c | 3,300$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.62 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…0788backed Heat | 65c | 3,297$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 63c | 3,166$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.62 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Cavaliers | 55c | 3,164$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Heat | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Heat | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Heat | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Heat | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.89 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 64c | 2,954$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.37 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Heat | 65c | 2,887$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Heat | 50c | 2,814$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…dcb1backed Heat | 66c | 2,800$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Cavaliers | 32c | 2,797$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0299backed Cavaliers | 41c | 2,688$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.16 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Cavaliers | 36c | 2,607$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.03 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Cavaliers | 38c | 2,600$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b566backed Cavaliers | 34c | 2,556$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat | 50c | 2,525$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.7 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heat | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Heat | 67c | 2,388$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Heat | 42c | 2,387$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Heat | 65c | 2,366$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.01 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 2,229$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.89 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 66c | 2,222$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…7d1cbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 2,179$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers | 58c | 2,019$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 56c | 2,008$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.26 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.