TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9571…1d98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,826.03
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,041.07
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$260.53
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$674.64
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$577.75
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$266.72
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$190.75
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$724.83
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$119.1
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+62.7%+$214.16
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+28.1%+$874.42
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$155.94
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+75.8%+$247.96
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12,188.57
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+93.6%+$5,899.41
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+28.7%+$70.15
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,098.5
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,403.8
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$3,113.97
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$184.81
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$58.11
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$163.92
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$81.83
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$421.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$456.51
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$391.56
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$185.88
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+34.4%+$167.92
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$139.08
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$738.53
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.4%+$327.98
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,080.73
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-70.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,536
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Oramond (BO3)backed Oramond · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$495.26
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$654.78
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$107.49
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,027.63
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$215.15
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$122.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+112.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.6%+$197.53
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+229.2%+$2,243.09
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$3,027.68
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,664Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,536
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$219.41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$416
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,249Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+48.7%+$1,095.56
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,804Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$1,577.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,358.41
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+34.2%+$123.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Green Bay Phoenix vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$36.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,729.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$438.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.