TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof MOUZ, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ44c21,882$9,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,731.3783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons43c20,652$8,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,704.824,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons47c17,521$8,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,215.223,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ49c9,583$4,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.6881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3b…3418backed Team Falcons46c6,940$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ35c5,795$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.773,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Team Falcons51c3,888$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.118741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed MOUZ54c3,085$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.066643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Team Falcons49c2,050$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.915644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f4…ea5dbacked MOUZ49c1,900$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.821233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf2…6a11backed MOUZ3c1,795$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.132931%9 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa797…41bebacked Team Falcons59c1,571$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.052152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ49c1,506$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.6326351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Team Falcons60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Team Falcons51c1,459$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.8510047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed MOUZ69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked MOUZ39c1,401$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked MOUZ43c1,219$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.379141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons53c1,212$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.21,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed MOUZ17c1,100$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1863333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed MOUZ50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2cf…f5fcbacked MOUZ41c965.85$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons52c832$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.3629235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed Team Falcons37c829.43$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.58250%41 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Team Falcons47c804.45$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.6541850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ40c767.5$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3071,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked MOUZ41c752.72$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9713460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3bd…f543backed Team Falcons42c752.11$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.794445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc6…a3bcbacked Team Falcons77c730.73$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.071566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked MOUZ58c720.37$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41632352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Team Falcons46c716.22$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.7692152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ56c700$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.0858961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed MOUZ31c698.12$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.235324.5%13 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ58c683.32$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6811044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9571…1d98backed MOUZ78c633.09$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.261020%2 W · 8 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-70.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons49c615.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.741,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24097230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons56c592.6$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.635341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Team Falcons58c590.91$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0810855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a9…3f60backed Team Falcons49c576.02$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.194052.5%21 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51a7…530ebacked Team Falcons37c574.89$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed Team Falcons46c552.35$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.275147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed MOUZ72c529$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Team Falcons59c510.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.768038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Falcons52c505$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.45040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ41c500.11$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.955,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked MOUZ66c500$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33211846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed MOUZ64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32022554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Falcons41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ36c439.41$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1923932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe63…2de4backed MOUZ58c433.89$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1711358.4%66 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Team Falcons50c409.3$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.944452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked MOUZ54c399.97$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9925350.2%127 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons50c376$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18873658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Team Falcons48c355.13$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6710529.5%31 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed MOUZ59c332.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.469260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed MOUZ44c313.52$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.67958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Team Falcons64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52850%14 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa9…d134backed Team Falcons61c308.73$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.733652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked MOUZ65c308.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed MOUZ54c306.22$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Team Falcons47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15931933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Team Falcons64c276.66$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.668842%37 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ65c269.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4346345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ42c268.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6320050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed MOUZ52c259.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3715162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed MOUZ41c253.84$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Team Falcons46c241.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3322942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fd…104ebacked Team Falcons54c240.7$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.721338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ad…4bc9backed MOUZ66c238.41$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.542755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c04…3fdbbacked Team Falcons45c235.7$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c8…0267backed MOUZ43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Team Falcons34c228.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.450358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…31d3backed Team Falcons49c221.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd431…87c1backed MOUZ40c218.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.687748.1%37 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Team Falcons50c213.62$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.752941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ff…4303backed Team Falcons47c212.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53447.1%16 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed MOUZ63c208.7$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Team Falcons48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.338951.7%46 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed MOUZ49c205.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007841%32 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Team Falcons61c205.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0131654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b4…f80bbacked Team Falcons49c204.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.331533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked MOUZ49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Team Falcons42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11611558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78e5…7d6abacked Team Falcons52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8334…4e9fbacked MOUZ21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-71.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Team Falcons66c193.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6812351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197b…7477backed MOUZ42c192.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.672718.5%5 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa231…a91ebacked Team Falcons38c184.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.215660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ba…faecbacked Team Falcons55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa59…aacabacked Team Falcons46c180$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989750.5%49 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Team Falcons47c169.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.932948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked MOUZ47c166.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed MOUZ22c161.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa50e…1cd9backed Team Falcons63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734055%22 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked MOUZ44c154$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2913044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked MOUZ44c152.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0215749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…e109backed Team Falcons54c142.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.772133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed MOUZ14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013740.9%56 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.