CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb913d9f02249ae249c72bfb74ef87d2888d815746029fef71eb98cdbd187528b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 5,933$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.98 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 35c | 4,171$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Over | 53c | 3,795$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…41bebacked Under | 44c | 3,183$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Over | 55c | 2,163$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 46c | 1,386$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.66 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 60c | 894.1$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 50c | 625.03$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…5ed6backed Under | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 54c | 358.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over | 59c | 305.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…d134backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Under | 25c | 168.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…f042backed Over | 50c | 159.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…50f3backed Under | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 50c | 117.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Under | 54c | 115.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 33c | 53.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…152cbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…8a67backed Over | 50c | 39.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Over | 54c | 37.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 54c | 36.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 31.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.