TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b47…25d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6334.9%22 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$87.69
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.64
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25.82
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$134.75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$43.68
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$94.24
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$155.71
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$63.9
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$31.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$92.67
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$46.38
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.39
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+102%+$20.42
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.29
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$56.4
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master - Game 2 Winnerbacked Game Master · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+233.3%+$67.91
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$134.12
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Kalmychata - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$60.97
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$161.2
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$82.91
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$51.55
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.08
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$49.81
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$99.62
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$25.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+269.3%+$204.63
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$132.71
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$114.83
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$297.7
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.44
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$20.31
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$147.41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+89.3%+$105.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$89.93
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.61
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$102.59
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.19
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.94
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.91
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$209.77
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99.64
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$154.14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49.91
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$53.47
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$26.14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$81.6
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$53.68
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+212.5%+$103.31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50.08
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+212.5%+$44.2
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$40.71
All 23 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$56.9
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$68.95
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$57.56
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.03
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.39
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.6
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$68.4
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Valorant: GIANTX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50.23
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$198.62
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.28
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50.54
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$107.93
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$99.51
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+72.4%+$144.48
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$149
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$127.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.3
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.