Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8213f9f187df301effd1501dbe34f7031ca06f08bc9657215174c701a98d5b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 27c | 4,497$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…81a2backed Over | 43c | 2,496$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 1,586$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.87 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,302$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 41c | 1,256$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 70c | 1,047$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.14 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…92f9backed Under | 57c | 898.1$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Under | 63c | 892.06$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Over | 39c | 716.03$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…13adbacked Under | 77c | 480.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 316.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 41c | 303.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Under | 57c | 298.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 294.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 39c | 292.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 63c | 271.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Under | 75c | 267.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 39c | 261.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 258.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…71c2backed Under | 78c | 229.41$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 76c | 216.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Under | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 58c | 186.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 68c | 155.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Under | 62c | 121$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 39c | 94.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Over | 34c | 58.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Over | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 49.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Under | 71c | 41.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 60c | 34.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 36c | 30.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 67c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…1e51backed Under | 62c | 24.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.