Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e2a277279c696e2d89d941e93a87f249d3eb62dce7baa105f5e12ccd691c0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,035$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 898.22$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 48c | 366.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 49c | 328.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 52c | 294.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 280.42$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed Yes | 49c | 222.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 45c | 214.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 202.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 49c | 169.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 49c | 107.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 51c | 99.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…3389backed No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 51c | 52.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed No | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…1e51backed No | 52c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.