Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a8fac74d56b8d7939f67e7010d06b7a51022b822e3b59aceeee108afc705f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 4,411$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.43 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 3,993$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…a570backed Over | 67c | 1,510$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 31c | 1,499$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.54 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 34c | 1,346$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.13 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 559.52$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.53 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 526.36$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 67c | 445.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 65c | 430.35$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.97 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Over | 47c | 406$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 44c | 400.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.09 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 51c | 321.07$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 66c | 205.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 68c | 168.28$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Over | 69c | 147.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 67c | 135.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…42cbbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 65c | 109.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Under | 35c | 106.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 67c | 105.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 102.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Under | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…aa19backed Over | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 67c | 74.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 33c | 54.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 44c | 53.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 54c | 46.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Under | 33c | 43.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 34c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Over | 53c | 27.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 67c | 26.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 76c | 18.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.