Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9763f564ae63ae5c7fafbdf4995071652ffe0179928a8e008cd2006320c6edf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof BESTIA, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x565c…878dbacked BESTIA | 37c | 3,825$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BESTIA | 14c | 3,167$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.39 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BESTIA | 11c | 2,176$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.25 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Esports | 71c | 1,755$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed BESTIA | 19c | 1,612$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.44 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G2 Esports | 77c | 1,571$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.5 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BESTIA | 21c | 1,263$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports | 65c | 1,231$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.67 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 16c | 1,116$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed BESTIA | 30c | 1,036$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.75 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed BESTIA | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports | 80c | 926.83$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…aebabacked BESTIA | 35c | 855$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G2 Esports | 63c | 690.08$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed G2 Esports | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked BESTIA | 28c | 470$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed BESTIA | 23c | 457$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed BESTIA | 35c | 424.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…98cdbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 21c | 365.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BESTIA | 28c | 293.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed BESTIA | 18c | 276.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1d…2717backed G2 Esports | 67c | 275.91$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 26c | 258.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed BESTIA | 15c | 256.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 25c | 250.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed BESTIA | 22c | 203.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 22c | 154.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked BESTIA | 23c | 142.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…7992backed G2 Esports | 72c | 139.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a97…7a1bbacked G2 Esports | 69c | 136.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked BESTIA | 24c | 126.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BESTIA | 22c | 114$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…4898backed BESTIA | 18c | 110.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked BESTIA | 19c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked BESTIA | 26c | 102.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked BESTIA | 20c | 96.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed BESTIA | 33c | 95.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed G2 Esports | 78c | 94.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed BESTIA | 33c | 90.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA | 16c | 86.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 28c | 71.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed BESTIA | 35c | 69.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…62e6backed BESTIA | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BESTIA | 21c | 58.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed BESTIA | 34c | 56.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked BESTIA | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 49.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed BESTIA | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…10eebacked G2 Esports | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed G2 Esports | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed G2 Esports | 71c | 31.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…6254backed G2 Esports | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa2…4c2cbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked G2 Esports | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed G2 Esports | 76c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed G2 Esports | 79c | 21.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…d67fbacked G2 Esports | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)G2 Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)G2 Esports won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InG2 Esports won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.