Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb1ab098890b7e784b28e7c2946b3aefbca980cf001c256f72f925270ce716f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed BESTIA | 50c | 2,006$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed G2 Esports | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BESTIA | 47c | 654.7$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.61 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed G2 Esports | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed BESTIA | 66c | 454$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 Esports | 34c | 454$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.64 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed G2 Esports | 53c | 423.57$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed G2 Esports | 71c | 381.68$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed BESTIA | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 283.46$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA | 31c | 148.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed G2 Esports | 65c | 99.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked BESTIA | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BESTIA | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked BESTIA | 36c | 34.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…e684backed G2 Esports | 48c | 33.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed G2 Esports | 48c | 31.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed G2 Esports | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BESTIA | 52c | 20.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)G2 Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InG2 Esports won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.