TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed5d…d67f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$10.52
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.19
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.11
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.08
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$23.59
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+93%+$27.88
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Kirill Kivattsev vs Frederic Schlossmannbacked Frederic Schlossmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$33.54
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.12
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Beatrice Ricci vs Varvara Panshinabacked Beatrice Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Georgina Garcia Perezbacked Oriana Gniewkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Federica Saccobacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Sion: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Juan Estevezbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roehampton: Yuta Shimizu vs Anton Matusevichbacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.66
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Sion: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Oleksandr Ovcharenkobacked Oleksandr Ovcharenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Manish Sureshkumar vs Hiromasa Koyamabacked Manish Sureshkumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Kingston: Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santosbacked Matt Kuhar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sion: Michael Zhu vs Thiago Cigarranbacked Thiago Cigarran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Robert Strombachs vs Vincent Reisachbacked Vincent Reisach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Stefan Horia Haitabacked Stefan Horia Haita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
All 23 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.87
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.78
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.31
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$25.46
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.28
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.9
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.63
Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked pugdesonesto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.91
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$7.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$25.5
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$22.97
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+262.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+625.4%+$89.62
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Odense BK vs. AC Horsens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burgos CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.