Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf64b19271b0320e18c59f90b344a9e7fff2e161babc2be9e9d7d8e82c921e800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $625,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed HULIGANI | 44c | 268,937$118,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,422 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed OG | 56c | 195,236$109,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,889.51 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG | 56c | 30,000$16,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,240.62 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked HULIGANI | 27c | 27,122$7,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.36 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 68c | 11,003$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.95 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed OG | 65c | 10,005$6,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.2 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked OG | 56c | 10,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed OG | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked HULIGANI | 11c | 9,150$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed HULIGANI | 41c | 8,427$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.97 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked OG | 55c | 7,702$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.64 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked OG | 62c | 6,907$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.11 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…629cbacked HULIGANI | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked OG | 59c | 5,782$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.51 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked HULIGANI | 3c | 5,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 56c | 5,150$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.17 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked OG | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked OG | 62c | 4,910$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.09 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked HULIGANI | 3c | 4,643$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked HULIGANI | 35c | 4,400$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed HULIGANI | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked HULIGANI | 9c | 4,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.85 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked OG | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed OG | 56c | 3,902$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.89 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed HULIGANI | 14c | 3,630$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed OG | 66c | 3,544$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.94 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed HULIGANI | 33c | 3,333$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.86 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed HULIGANI | 0c | 2,967$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed HULIGANI | 42c | 2,880$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.67 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed HULIGANI | 1c | 2,700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HULIGANI | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked OG | 78c | 2,412$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.3 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed OG | 57c | 2,340$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.2 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed HULIGANI | 12c | 2,310$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.3 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 2,238$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed OG | 67c | 2,202$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.72 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed OG | 68c | 2,169$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.27 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed HULIGANI | 40c | 2,090$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.99 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked OG | 68c | 2,057$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.17 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed OG | 58c | 2,048$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.07 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked HULIGANI | 33c | 2,014$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.84 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed HULIGANI | 22c | 2,000$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed HULIGANI | 13c | 1,989$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.57 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…7fb3backed OG | 65c | 1,907$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed OG | 66c | 1,822$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.32 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…053bbacked HULIGANI | 15c | 1,815$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 71c | 1,758$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked OG | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 57c | 1,671$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.6 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked HULIGANI | 4c | 1,542$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed HULIGANI | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed OG | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed HULIGANI | 33c | 1,447$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.87 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked HULIGANI | 34c | 1,435$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked OG | 67c | 1,421$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked HULIGANI | 10c | 1,300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed HULIGANI | 39c | 1,242$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked HULIGANI | 18c | 1,178$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked OG | 58c | 1,170$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 61c | 1,085$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 72c | 1,046$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.51 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed HULIGANI | 41c | 1,042$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed OG | 56c | 1,022$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked HULIGANI | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked HULIGANI | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked HULIGANI | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked OG | 69c | 999.99$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked HULIGANI | 35c | 999.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed OG | 66c | 969.19$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.55 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HULIGANI | 34c | 899.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked HULIGANI | 37c | 885$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked OG | 69c | 869.99$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.85 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HULIGANI | 16c | 851.4$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed OG | 68c | 844$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe236…cfcdbacked OG | 59c | 805.81$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed OG | 78c | 781.68$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.19 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed OG | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed HULIGANI | 32c | 767.65$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked OG | 72c | 760.23$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HULIGANI | 28c | 754.78$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked HULIGANI | 10c | 749.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked HULIGANI | 23c | 728.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked OG | 67c | 670.81$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.51 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed HULIGANI | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked HULIGANI | 33c | 643.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HULIGANI | 10c | 626.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 62c | 607.01$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2d1backed OG | 56c | 601$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HULIGANI | 15c | 589.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked OG | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed HULIGANI | 12c | 582.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed HULIGANI | 15c | 563.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2453backed HULIGANI | 26c | 563.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked HULIGANI | 36c | 523.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed HULIGANI | 42c | 519.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.64 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed HULIGANI | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 252 | 54.4%137 W · 115 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…6243backed OG | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed OG | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerHULIGANI won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)HULIGANI won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.