TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof OG, HULIGANI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$625,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$708,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,885 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed HULIGANI44c268,937$118,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,4229733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed OG56c195,236$109,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,889.5112259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG56c30,000$16,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,240.6219847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked HULIGANI27c27,122$7,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.3689341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed OG68c11,003$7,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.9571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed OG65c10,005$6,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.230667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked OG56c10,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,45041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed OG55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9941056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked HULIGANI11c9,150$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.49731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed HULIGANI41c8,427$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.979636.5%35 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked OG55c7,702$4,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,433.6417444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked OG62c6,907$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.1132548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d2…629cbacked HULIGANI12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a4…6c3ebacked OG59c5,782$3,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.515137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked HULIGANI3c5,250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808223.2%19 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed OG56c5,150$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.1769644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked OG56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20024246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked OG62c4,910$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.099052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked HULIGANI3c4,643$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9116547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked HULIGANI35c4,400$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.996050%30 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed HULIGANI10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958b…50cebacked HULIGANI9c4,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.854866.7%32 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked OG67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.986553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed OG56c3,902$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.898757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e1…a8a1backed HULIGANI14c3,630$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.22330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed OG66c3,544$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.9429043.4%126 W · 164 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed HULIGANI33c3,333$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.866726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed HULIGANI0c2,967$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113243.1%10 W · 314 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x203b…46e1backed HULIGANI42c2,880$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.672669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed HULIGANI1c2,700$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.86132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed HULIGANI33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked OG78c2,412$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.335850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed OG57c2,340$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.24065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed HULIGANI12c2,310$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.365625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked HULIGANI41c2,238$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92031936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed OG67c2,202$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.7217648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed OG68c2,169$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.278456%47 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed HULIGANI40c2,090$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.9921146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked OG68c2,057$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.1723336.9%86 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed OG58c2,048$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.075048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked HULIGANI33c2,014$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.8411649.1%57 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed HULIGANI22c2,000$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.59122%20 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed HULIGANI13c1,989$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.573641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf983…7fb3backed OG65c1,907$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed OG66c1,822$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.3292846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b08…053bbacked HULIGANI15c1,815$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG71c1,758$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.011,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked OG67c1,700$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5614445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OG57c1,671$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.61,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba7…9c8abacked HULIGANI4c1,542$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.938020%16 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…8f65backed HULIGANI44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.993743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed OG65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.991650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed HULIGANI33c1,447$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.878536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked HULIGANI34c1,435$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked OG67c1,421$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df4…0b7abacked HULIGANI10c1,300$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.446851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed HULIGANI39c1,242$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.039658.3%56 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked HULIGANI18c1,178$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.828447.6%40 W · 44 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ea…36cdbacked OG58c1,170$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.393250%16 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed OG61c1,085$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.61,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed OG72c1,046$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5147748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed HULIGANI41c1,042$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.85642.9%24 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed OG56c1,022$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked HULIGANI35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509340.9%38 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked HULIGANI10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008450%42 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed OG67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33053758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked HULIGANI14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked OG69c999.99$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31523561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked HULIGANI35c999.96$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9911142.3%47 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed OG66c969.19$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5530357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed HULIGANI34c899.97$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9920448%98 W · 106 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked HULIGANI37c885$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.454454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked OG69c869.99$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.851,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HULIGANI16c851.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.487838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed OG68c844$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0810544.8%47 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe236…cfcdbacked OG59c805.81$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed OG78c781.68$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1937146.4%172 W · 199 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed OG65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2321346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed HULIGANI32c767.65$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3216841.1%69 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked OG72c760.23$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.657763.6%49 W · 28 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HULIGANI28c754.78$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.712,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x284f…31efbacked HULIGANI10c749.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.56328.6%18 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked HULIGANI23c728.46$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.221328.2%60 W · 153 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked OG67c670.81$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5131052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed HULIGANI45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked HULIGANI33c643.69$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed HULIGANI10c626.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9458742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed OG62c607.01$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3377941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2d1backed OG56c601$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.442842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HULIGANI15c589.4$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.411,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked OG68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2414657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed HULIGANI12c582.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3720030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed HULIGANI15c563.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3741739.6%165 W · 252 L-38.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x90ab…2453backed HULIGANI26c563.55$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.242528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3248539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked HULIGANI36c523.38$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.584533.3%15 W · 30 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x02fe…c5a5backed HULIGANI42c519.59$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.648740.2%35 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed HULIGANI11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5525254.4%137 W · 115 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66a1…6243backed OG69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1556478.1%50 W · 14 L+11.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed OG75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12518351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.