TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HULIGANIof OG, HULIGANI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed HULIGANI40c40,387$16,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,232.0712159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53fb…7c30backed OG60c39,000$23,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,4002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked OG48c33,356$16,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,045.8923435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed HULIGANI56c24,563$13,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,81871143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked OG48c21,684$10,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,479.693951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed HULIGANI52c20,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.9947646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed OG49c10,184$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008348.2%40 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked OG37c9,649$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.2889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed HULIGANI47c9,634$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,140.6245139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked OG11c9,150$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.49731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3a4…6c3ebacked OG28c6,260$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.85137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HULIGANI50c5,252$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.071,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b60…edbebacked OG57c5,160$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.24837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked OG63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.9924246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked OG58c4,967$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.719853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked HULIGANI54c4,945$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.8296645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed HULIGANI37c4,572$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.5856955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked OG40c4,239$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.2650347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HULIGANI54c3,855$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.4989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed HULIGANI53c3,661$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.5768649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed OG30c3,552$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.63641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked HULIGANI43c3,544$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.8210045%45 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed OG37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2957234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked OG42c3,343$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.2431052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed OG44c3,153$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.4621155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed OG66c3,044$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7045…81b5backed HULIGANI70c2,770$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.135369.8%37 W · 16 L+9.1wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd61a…708bbacked OG45c2,604$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.164151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked OG61c2,580$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.85745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed HULIGANI50c2,548$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.2918844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed HULIGANI66c2,451$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9415054.7%82 W · 68 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed OG41c2,369$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.6718660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed OG39c2,322$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.584065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed HULIGANI34c2,314$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.9769644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed OG1c2,267$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed HULIGANI61c2,130$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9947748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed OG16c2,100$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.369122%20 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4e…852fbacked OG1c2,040$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84238.1%16 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed HULIGANI50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x994d…a298backed OG48c2,000$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.894355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked HULIGANI51c1,876$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.0677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG39c1,862$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed OG64c1,781$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1409556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed HULIGANI43c1,700$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked HULIGANI64c1,663$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60679859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed OG38c1,648$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.2347650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed OG41c1,617$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66072035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HULIGANI51c1,560$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.1289938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed HULIGANI52c1,559$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.5134442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed HULIGANI50c1,510$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.7850353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed OG3c1,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed HULIGANI45c1,492$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.441,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed HULIGANI45c1,400$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.9918446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed OG40c1,384$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.8437745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OG38c1,344$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.281,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081c…5de0backed OG43c1,334$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.213619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HULIGANI58c1,264$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.9289238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked OG47c1,249$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.878254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked HULIGANI49c1,245$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.957142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed HULIGANI50c1,238$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.5634051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG55c1,228$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.7850850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked OG53c1,137$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.439052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked OG59c1,132$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.7131055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed OG31c1,094$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.148934.8%31 W · 58 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6df4…0b7abacked HULIGANI50c1,088$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.336851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed OG57c1,074$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.7512335.8%44 W · 79 L-13.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed HULIGANI41c1,057$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.5228347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed OG60c1,025$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.1693546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked HULIGANI53c1,006$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.2450749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed OG51c1,000$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4853758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed HULIGANI66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34022663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked OG46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4608450%42 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf51…8bfabacked OG32c967.64$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.975550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked OG52c944.07$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1895342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked HULIGANI64c940.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.236266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02fe…c5a5backed HULIGANI44c925.65$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.548740.2%35 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked HULIGANI65c916.51$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5112060.8%73 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48f…e9b9backed OG56c914.82$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.35152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked OG46c912.02$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8321558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked HULIGANI47c902.5$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.431,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked HULIGANI50c896.8$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.412255.7%68 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked HULIGANI57c878.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.79658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed OG41c865.09$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0320030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked OG45c784.18$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3722543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked OG58c765.52$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44416959.2%100 W · 69 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked HULIGANI55c762$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.916547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed HULIGANI80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15030356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked HULIGANI54c739.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3420859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2591…b7c1backed HULIGANI55c720$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32411244.6%50 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ea…36cdbacked OG62c710.89$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.753250%16 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG31c706.53$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.721,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed OG2c700$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b4…4e24backed HULIGANI70c666$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.756764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3feb…7dfbbacked HULIGANI72c666$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.487931.6%25 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked OG49c653.67$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32248843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20d…6ba4backed HULIGANI48c650$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33814751%75 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG45c629.48$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.612,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked OG54c623.06$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5612858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed OG8c615.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed HULIGANI50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.