Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd2bcc54d50104251585c8866d860b6e1847fda56792cc14787b3a84852e477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HULIGANIof OG, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed HULIGANI | 40c | 40,387$16,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,232.07 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed OG | 60c | 39,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked OG | 48c | 33,356$16,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,045.89 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HULIGANI | 56c | 24,563$13,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,818 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked OG | 48c | 21,684$10,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,479.69 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed HULIGANI | 52c | 20,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed OG | 49c | 10,184$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 37c | 9,649$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.28 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed HULIGANI | 47c | 9,634$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.62 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked OG | 11c | 9,150$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked OG | 28c | 6,260$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.8 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HULIGANI | 50c | 5,252$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.07 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked OG | 57c | 5,160$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.2 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked OG | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked OG | 58c | 4,967$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.7 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HULIGANI | 54c | 4,945$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.82 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed HULIGANI | 37c | 4,572$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.58 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 40c | 4,239$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.26 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HULIGANI | 54c | 3,855$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.49 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed HULIGANI | 53c | 3,661$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.57 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed OG | 30c | 3,552$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked HULIGANI | 43c | 3,544$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.82 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed OG | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked OG | 42c | 3,343$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.24 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed OG | 44c | 3,153$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.46 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed OG | 66c | 3,044$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed HULIGANI | 70c | 2,770$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.13 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked OG | 45c | 2,604$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked OG | 61c | 2,580$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.8 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed HULIGANI | 50c | 2,548$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.29 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed HULIGANI | 66c | 2,451$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.94 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed OG | 41c | 2,369$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.67 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed OG | 39c | 2,322$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.58 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed HULIGANI | 34c | 2,314$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.97 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed OG | 1c | 2,267$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed HULIGANI | 61c | 2,130$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed OG | 16c | 2,100$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked OG | 1c | 2,040$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed HULIGANI | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…a298backed OG | 48c | 2,000$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.89 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HULIGANI | 51c | 1,876$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.06 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 39c | 1,862$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed OG | 64c | 1,781$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed HULIGANI | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked HULIGANI | 64c | 1,663$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 38c | 1,648$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.23 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 41c | 1,617$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HULIGANI | 51c | 1,560$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.12 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed HULIGANI | 52c | 1,559$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.51 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HULIGANI | 50c | 1,510$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.78 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed OG | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HULIGANI | 45c | 1,492$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.44 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed HULIGANI | 45c | 1,400$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.99 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed OG | 40c | 1,384$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.84 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 38c | 1,344$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.28 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed OG | 43c | 1,334$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.21 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HULIGANI | 58c | 1,264$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.92 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked OG | 47c | 1,249$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.87 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked HULIGANI | 49c | 1,245$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.95 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed HULIGANI | 50c | 1,238$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.56 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG | 55c | 1,228$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.78 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked OG | 53c | 1,137$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.43 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 59c | 1,132$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.71 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed OG | 31c | 1,094$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked HULIGANI | 50c | 1,088$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.33 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed OG | 57c | 1,074$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.75 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed HULIGANI | 41c | 1,057$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.52 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed OG | 60c | 1,025$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.16 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked HULIGANI | 53c | 1,006$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.48 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed HULIGANI | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked OG | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked OG | 32c | 967.64$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 52c | 944.07$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.18 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked HULIGANI | 64c | 940.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.23 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed HULIGANI | 44c | 925.65$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.54 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked HULIGANI | 65c | 916.51$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.51 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed OG | 56c | 914.82$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.3 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked OG | 46c | 912.02$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.83 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HULIGANI | 47c | 902.5$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.43 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked HULIGANI | 50c | 896.8$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.4 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked HULIGANI | 57c | 878.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed OG | 41c | 865.09$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.03 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked OG | 45c | 784.18$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.37 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked OG | 58c | 765.52$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked HULIGANI | 55c | 762$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.9 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed HULIGANI | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked HULIGANI | 54c | 739.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed HULIGANI | 55c | 720$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked OG | 62c | 710.89$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 31c | 706.53$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b4…4e24backed HULIGANI | 70c | 666$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked HULIGANI | 72c | 666$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 49c | 653.67$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed HULIGANI | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 45c | 629.48$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked OG | 54c | 623.06$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.56 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed OG | 8c | 615.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed HULIGANI | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group StageOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)HULIGANI won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.