Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a575a1abd9a360a956662e55ea486b0758fa41829a4185d45959dad0cec023c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed HULIGANI | 44c | 100,000$43,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,997.39 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 57c | 88,061$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,061.12 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked OG | 56c | 25,309$14,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,132.82 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…629cbacked OG | 56c | 12,300$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HULIGANI | 39c | 11,074$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.52 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed HULIGANI | 43c | 10,000$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.28 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked HULIGANI | 11c | 9,150$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed OG | 64c | 7,834$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.32 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 56c | 6,163$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.13 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked HULIGANI | 41c | 5,000$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.18 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed HULIGANI | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed HULIGANI | 43c | 3,974$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.18 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked OG | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.99 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed OG | 57c | 3,600$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.27 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked OG | 56c | 3,222$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.67 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HULIGANI | 40c | 2,668$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.22 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HULIGANI | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed OG | 56c | 2,437$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.63 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 56c | 2,411$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.71 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 57c | 2,262$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.06 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked OG | 56c | 2,256$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.41 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked OG | 79c | 2,083$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.83 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked HULIGANI | 37c | 2,073$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.38 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed HULIGANI | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed HULIGANI | 11c | 2,000$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked OG | 60c | 1,968$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 76c | 1,947$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed OG | 63c | 1,873$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.55 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked OG | 71c | 1,826$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.66 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked HULIGANI | 26c | 1,600$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 56c | 1,500$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.86 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed OG | 70c | 1,432$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.82 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed HULIGANI | 42c | 1,414$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed OG | 68c | 1,393$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…b46abacked HULIGANI | 19c | 1,320$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 67c | 1,320$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.34 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked OG | 66c | 1,256$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed OG | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed OG | 77c | 1,149$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed OG | 58c | 1,135$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.86 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HULIGANI | 45c | 1,116$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed OG | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked OG | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked OG | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed OG | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked HULIGANI | 37c | 1,051$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked HULIGANI | 43c | 1,048$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.64 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed HULIGANI | 42c | 1,035$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.44 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed OG | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HULIGANI | 37c | 953.75$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.86 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed OG | 54c | 948.69$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked HULIGANI | 43c | 936.97$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.9 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked HULIGANI | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked OG | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked OG | 67c | 838.76$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.51 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 834.43$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.94 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked OG | 57c | 818.43$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.13 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed HULIGANI | 35c | 799.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked OG | 55c | 727.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.23 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed HULIGANI | 24c | 694.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed HULIGANI | 42c | 648.51$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked OG | 53c | 631.41$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.38 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed OG | 72c | 583.66$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OG | 71c | 548.53$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked HULIGANI | 45c | 546.67$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked OG | 61c | 540.91$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed HULIGANI | 42c | 520.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked HULIGANI | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 57c | 492$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.97 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed HULIGANI | 45c | 467.6$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed HULIGANI | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HULIGANI | 40c | 462.45$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HULIGANI | 44c | 447.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed OG | 64c | 425$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked OG | 71c | 423.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HULIGANI | 29c | 341.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed HULIGANI | 44c | 338.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked HULIGANI | 36c | 335.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed HULIGANI | 37c | 326.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked HULIGANI | 15c | 322.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed HULIGANI | 43c | 317.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed OG | 59c | 317.46$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HULIGANI | 45c | 316.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked OG | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked OG | 65c | 299.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed HULIGANI | 9c | 288.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed OG | 74c | 270.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed OG | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed OG | 57c | 266.22$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…e867backed OG | 65c | 263.54$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed OG | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 55c | 249.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed OG | 60c | 249.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed OG | 56c | 246$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked HULIGANI | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked HULIGANI | 36c | 243.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked OG | 70c | 225$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group StageOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerHULIGANI won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)HULIGANI won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.