Tennis · resolved market
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Beatrice Ricci vs Varvara Panshina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcaab3c4d61b20c15e08712ca72b1f90b314218e57fb8e60995114538fce2f34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Varvara Panshinaof Beatrice Ricci, Varvara Panshina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beatrice Ricci | 45c | 3,119$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Varvara Panshina | 72c | 1,561$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.23 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Panshina | 46c | 1,236$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Beatrice Ricci | 49c | 700$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.45 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Beatrice Ricci | 48c | 606.98$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.35 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Beatrice Ricci | 71c | 447.81$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.18 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Beatrice Ricci | 60c | 424.32$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Varvara Panshina | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Beatrice Ricci | 66c | 373.37$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Varvara Panshina | 43c | 324.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Beatrice Ricci | 57c | 316.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Varvara Panshina | 53c | 280.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…72f9backed Varvara Panshina | 73c | 236.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Varvara Panshina | 72c | 201.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Beatrice Ricci | 56c | 133.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Varvara Panshina | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Beatrice Ricci | 52c | 117.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Beatrice Ricci | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beatrice Ricci | 74c | 111$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Beatrice Ricci | 53c | 108.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Varvara Panshina | 34c | 108.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Beatrice Ricci | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Beatrice Ricci | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Varvara Panshina | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Beatrice Ricci | 48c | 98.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Varvara Panshina | 44c | 94.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Beatrice Ricci | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Beatrice Ricci | 34c | 75.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Beatrice Ricci | 58c | 70.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…3f71backed Varvara Panshina | 27c | 68.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Varvara Panshina | 44c | 61.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Beatrice Ricci | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Varvara Panshina | 73c | 57.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…33bebacked Varvara Panshina | 67c | 57.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Beatrice Ricci | 55c | 50.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Varvara Panshina | 42c | 48.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Beatrice Ricci | 68c | 46.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Varvara Panshina | 45c | 43.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…c339backed Varvara Panshina | 35c | 42.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +116%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…e711backed Varvara Panshina | 70c | 41.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Beatrice Ricci | 46c | 37.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Varvara Panshina | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Beatrice Ricci | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…d67fbacked Beatrice Ricci | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…cea7backed Varvara Panshina | 73c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Beatrice Ricci | 73c | 15.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.