Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Georgina Garcia Perez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706f1916a971c5c0b1743800e1dda81666dd72a35c2152d2d8b6fd4bd9f93d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriana Gniewkowskaof Oriana Gniewkowska, Georgina Garcia Perez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 62c | 6,877$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.31 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Georgina Garcia Perez | 41c | 2,894$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgina Garcia Perez | 34c | 1,657$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 63c | 960.06$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.22 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 63c | 917.52$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.13 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 68c | 710.94$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 65c | 506.01$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 68c | 304.79$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 74c | 205.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 74c | 184.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 63c | 164.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…72f9backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 63c | 107.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Georgina Garcia Perez | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 60c | 81.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…cea7backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 62c | 67.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 67c | 66.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 69c | 56.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 63c | 55.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Georgina Garcia Perez | 64c | 53.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Georgina Garcia Perez | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Georgina Garcia Perez | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…33bebacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 63c | 39.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…e711backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…f266backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 62c | 34.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Oriana Gniewkowska | 62c | 26.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…d67fbacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Georgina Garcia Perez | 73c | 18.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 58c | 17.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…1b9ebacked Oriana Gniewkowska | 61c | 16.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.