TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$628,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$775,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Team Resilience65c75,250$48,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,416.149733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Yandex46c65,836$30,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,443.9112259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Resilience25c41,568$10,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,175.9523435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fb…7c30backed Team Yandex53c29,400$15,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,5702138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Resilience24c20,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,199.9847646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd61a…708bbacked Team Yandex25c13,981$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.754151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc835…3911backed Team Resilience50c13,802$6,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,969.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b60…edbebacked Team Yandex75c13,200$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9004837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex56c13,045$7,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,241.8689741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Resilience24c9,292$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,104.9324246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Team Resilience50c8,371$4,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,158.578143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Yandex70c8,151$5,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,713.5441056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Team Resilience47c8,086$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.897142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Yandex45c7,801$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.9150850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Resilience40c7,300$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.380256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Resilience79c7,032$5,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.0330667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Team Yandex11c6,700$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.41731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Resilience57c6,328$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.4812858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked Team Yandex36c6,040$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.23951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex33c6,036$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Yandex28c5,555$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.4320030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Yandex55c5,162$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.6222853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Resilience20c4,512$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.3756542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Team Yandex77c4,333$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.289042.2%38 W · 52 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Resilience58c4,308$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.7791553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Yandex60c4,300$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.799852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex50c4,216$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10653764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Yandex29c3,878$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.518844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Yandex75c3,636$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7275745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Resilience44c3,557$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.9135737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d66…ff1dbacked Team Resilience35c3,333$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.411844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e24…7014backed Team Yandex47c3,201$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010453.8%56 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc424…61efbacked Team Resilience50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Yandex76c3,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Yandex71c2,969$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.351,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Yandex74c2,924$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.9996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Team Yandex45c2,881$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.654346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Resilience53c2,861$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.6145352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Resilience66c2,717$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.751,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed Team Resilience65c2,687$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.413366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex57c2,542$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.547650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex41c2,522$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.1135758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Team Yandex78c2,495$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.1819460.3%117 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Resilience22c2,379$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.5117040.6%69 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Team Resilience23c2,280$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex77c2,213$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.6395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex49c2,037$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.7435960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed Team Yandex35c2,015$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010256.9%58 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Resilience22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9469835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Team Yandex47c1,923$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.38757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08a5…db43backed Team Yandex56c1,900$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.747452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7045…81b5backed Team Yandex48c1,870$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.285369.8%37 W · 16 L+9.1wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Team Yandex55c1,831$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Resilience58c1,816$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.129339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex58c1,725$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Yandex77c1,692$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.8950353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Team Resilience27c1,609$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.8228347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex76c1,594$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.7471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed Team Yandex26c1,484$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.510840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Yandex18c1,444$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.4615739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Resilience40c1,440$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.6361456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex38c1,399$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.4835850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Team Yandex62c1,376$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85014657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex55c1,361$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.561,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Yandex68c1,330$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90046664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fab…9a70backed Team Yandex73c1,329$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.725569.1%38 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Resilience57c1,321$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3342639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Resilience24c1,311$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.250347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0e…4933backed Team Yandex77c1,279$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.831080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b13…0263backed Team Yandex37c1,270$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.925164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4905…1683backed Team Resilience48c1,249$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.474843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Team Resilience54c1,217$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.048242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Team Yandex43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9534442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Yandex25c1,181$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1289938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Resilience43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.799658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex75c1,113$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.931,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team Yandex80c1,071$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.417648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Resilience40c1,053$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.7356343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed Team Resilience44c1,034$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.099855.1%54 W · 44 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Yandex64c1,032$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.7450749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Yandex33c1,005$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33316959.2%100 W · 69 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Yandex68c1,002$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.3668649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked Team Yandex51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011142.3%47 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Team Resilience63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3708450%42 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Team Yandex32c1,000$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.249122%20 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Team Yandex66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9914943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Resilience33c997.91$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.731,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…df2bbacked Team Resilience53c984.06$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.42962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Team Yandex27c974.55$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.598254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Team Yandex35c972$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.217249.4%85 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2591…b7c1backed Team Yandex42c959.71$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.2311244.6%50 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Yandex68c953.31$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.177256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Yandex43c925.92$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1758943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Resilience25c924.32$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.2431055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Yandex45c917.01$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.451,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Team Yandex35c914.8$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Yandex3c913.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.643323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Yandex24c900$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3516232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Resilience39c870.48$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.1851140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Yandex36c862.41$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2612335.8%44 W · 79 L-13.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.