Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa18a8e5639c5f083715393bacb3a7acf27b0f954b6cd712ebe215acb3a0ded1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Yandex, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 17,799$7,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,725.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Resilience | 40c | 5,581$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.06 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,380$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.27 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex | 61c | 3,264$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.56 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,160$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 3,100$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…1999backed Team Yandex | 62c | 2,966$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Team Yandex | 61c | 1,931$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Yandex | 59c | 1,099$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.41 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Team Yandex | 61c | 965.7$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…3ff9backed Team Yandex | 61c | 655.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…b26bbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 647.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Team Yandex | 62c | 633.13$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Yandex | 60c | 566.48$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 450.94$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Yandex | 61c | 443.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.35 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 443.15$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.89 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Team Resilience | 40c | 442.55$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 58c | 364$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.72 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Yandex | 31c | 345.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Yandex | 60c | 333.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Yandex | 60c | 235$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Resilience | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Yandex | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Team Resilience | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 166.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Team Yandex | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Yandex | 24c | 150.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Yandex | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked Team Yandex | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Team Resilience | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Team Yandex | 58c | 106.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…035bbacked Team Resilience | 39c | 103.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -11.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Resilience | 38c | 98.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Team Yandex | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…b84cbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Resilience | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Yandex | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Team Resilience | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…409abacked Team Resilience | 39c | 76.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Team Yandex | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Yandex | 62c | 74.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Team Yandex | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Team Resilience | 41c | 65.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…3e39backed Team Resilience | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Team Resilience | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Resilience | 73c | 42.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…ca8bbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Yandex | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Yandex | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Team Yandex | 58c | 38.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Resilience | 78c | 36.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 33.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Team Resilience | 40c | 30.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6669…42b5backed Team Resilience | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Resilience | 33c | 29.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 28.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Team Resilience | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Team Resilience | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Yandex | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x549b…28c2backed Team Resilience | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Team Resilience | 72c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Team Resilience | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…f414backed Team Yandex | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.