TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Resilience, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$671,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$789,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b60…edbebacked Team Yandex73c54,433$39,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,788.234837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked Team Resilience48c50,962$24,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,331.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Resilience29c29,991$8,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,765.6571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Yandex62c24,260$15,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,219.0713960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Resilience18c20,011$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.8137745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed Team Yandex51c20,003$10,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8012646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked Team Resilience22c20,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4004942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Resilience24c20,000$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.223148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Resilience15c18,203$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.4423435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed Team Resilience0c15,200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-66.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience4c15,128$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1789741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked Team Yandex77c14,197$10,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.525834.5%20 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Resilience27c12,084$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.1818844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…2ad3backed Team Yandex80c10,970$8,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.294868.8%33 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Team Resilience11c9,150$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.99731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Resilience19c8,635$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.715137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Team Resilience9c6,944$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.069122%20 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d1f…5757backed Team Resilience14c6,200$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8641723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958b…50cebacked Team Resilience5c6,000$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.324866.7%32 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Team Resilience3c5,250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.998223.2%19 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Resilience16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Resilience21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Resilience4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9269835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Resilience5c4,746$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2372035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Resilience5c4,661$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5622543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Yandex79c4,343$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.546642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Resilience22c4,200$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90356542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed Team Yandex61c4,050$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5622133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c31…02d3backed Team Resilience14c3,900$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.831225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Team Resilience16c3,523$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.6816550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience12c3,428$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.8788539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Resilience19c3,383$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.7536041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Resilience15c3,341$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5211649.1%57 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Team Resilience15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004650%23 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex76c3,043$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74053758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Team Resilience46c3,000$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.684537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Resilience27c2,811$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.2712259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Resilience2c2,800$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6165625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Resilience21c2,629$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2665647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Yandex78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.114258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Team Resilience40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex78c2,460$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Resilience29c2,286$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.1935850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed Team Resilience44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86032445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Team Resilience23c1,974$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Resilience2c1,886$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6237811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd49…3096backed Team Resilience16c1,708$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.325424.1%13 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e7…dc64backed Team Resilience1c1,700$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25342.9%1 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick10cpaid-95.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8db…ba5fbacked Team Resilience23c1,571$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.333647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Resilience28c1,546$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0658943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba7…9c8abacked Team Resilience7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058020%16 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6447…3f7bbacked Team Resilience3c1,414$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Resilience28c1,394$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3156945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x581d…e413backed Team Resilience15c1,303$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Resilience28c1,288$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.0377941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Team Yandex67c1,265$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4314657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Team Resilience30c1,265$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6218437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Resilience25c1,207$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3645352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex73c1,175$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.611,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Team Resilience12c1,137$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.220233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Resilience34c1,135$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.891,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Team Resilience16c1,119$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1798035%28 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Resilience22c1,055$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.385851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex61c1,023$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.811,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Team Resilience5c1,003$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7916539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf51…8bfabacked Team Resilience3c999.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.875550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Yandex70c969.99$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0912146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa5…05bbbacked Team Yandex64c957.65$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.313359.4%79 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…ce05backed Team Resilience13c911.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6a…599abacked Team Resilience6c888$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Team Resilience1c887.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5717323.1%40 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Resilience14c850$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8146240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Yandex72c821.82$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1128251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Resilience22c783$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2653844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Yandex80c771.32$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3232548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex70c757.35$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.492,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…23eebacked Team Resilience3c739.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da5…e620backed Team Yandex55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.279352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc2a…6f9cbacked Team Resilience7c727.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.593030%9 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Yandex74c717.88$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.181,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Team Resilience14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011949.6%59 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Team Resilience13c676.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience20c671.34$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.091,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3feb…7dfbbacked Team Resilience5c666$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.37931.6%25 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Resilience23c651.74$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1958746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Team Yandex71c650.18$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5841455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49ea…1c22backed Team Resilience3c635.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.055261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Resilience10c628.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.915337.3%57 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Resilience11c625.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2993546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Resilience4c624.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0723736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked Team Yandex58c614.98$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.583951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabef…5c2ebacked Team Resilience8c600$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.39344.1%41 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d6…3e1ebacked Team Resilience6c599.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-84.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Team Yandex57c597.11$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.819743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Resilience19c581$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.411,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Team Resilience24c575.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026343%113 W · 150 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Team Resilience11c563.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed Team Resilience32c549.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.