Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b554ab8c10acc97693951732179646ca6fbba0b2ff068fd6d22d71fabb6a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fire Flux Esports | 12c | 3,533$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.61 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 5c | 3,073$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Vitality | 66c | 3,000$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 2,946$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.31 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Vitality | 70c | 2,945$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.35 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 2,903$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 1,943$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.7 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Team Vitality | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.84 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 1,032$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.47 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Vitality | 71c | 925.34$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.01 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Vitality | 72c | 752.47$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.69 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Vitality | 75c | 750.43$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.9 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Vitality | 70c | 744.78$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 16c | 629$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Vitality | 77c | 530$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 517.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 504.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Team Vitality | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Vitality | 69c | 490.28$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 426.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 393.04$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 358.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 324.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 319$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 236.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 207.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality | 63c | 200.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Team Vitality | 76c | 198.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Team Vitality | 64c | 196.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 348 | 53.7%187 W · 161 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 184.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 183.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 14c | 164.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 161.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 153.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 191 | 34.6%66 W · 125 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 146.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a97…7a1bbacked Team Vitality | 70c | 143.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…5554backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 18c | 135.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 132.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Fire Flux Esports | 15c | 129.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 46.6%156 W · 179 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Fire Flux Esports | 16c | 116.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 105.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Team Vitality | 71c | 104.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Fire Flux Esports | 26c | 104.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 96.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Fire Flux Esports | 18c | 90.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Team Vitality | 75c | 61.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 57.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…0566backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Team Vitality | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…9587backed Team Vitality | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Vitality | 73c | 32.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…d67fbacked Team Vitality | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Team Vitality | 68c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 121 | 71.1%86 W · 35 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…98cdbacked Team Vitality | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Vitality | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)Fire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsFire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.