Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8881d0df21cddb51a493cb7732a756c8a9ac395e503c890ff6032d1e65da1960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,957,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,584,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,957,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 803 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Liquid | 55c | 500,004$275,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,358.12 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Team Falcons | 45c | 351,522$158,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,173.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 251,774$125,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,077 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Liquid | 63c | 144,371$90,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,440.66 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid | 50c | 118,457$59,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,874.4 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 51c | 84,869$43,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,754.51 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 67,081$37,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,846.14 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 28c | 62,565$17,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,746.55 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 48c | 57,893$27,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,990.22 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 53,075$22,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,376.31 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 43,192$25,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,053.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,399.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…40dabacked Team Falcons | 45c | 39,322$17,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,800.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 31,428$13,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,578.24 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 45c | 30,000$13,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,480.74 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 40c | 29,635$11,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,911.46 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 29,593$14,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,796.57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Team Liquid | 52c | 29,417$15,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,145.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Falcons | 44c | 23,622$10,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,432.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Liquid | 56c | 20,676$11,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,051.85 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 19,712$12,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,552.56 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 18,942$8,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,259.39 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 16,303$6,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,055.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Falcons | 6c | 15,842$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.56 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Falcons | 26c | 14,371$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.81 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Falcons | 32c | 14,351$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.24 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 40c | 14,162$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635.81 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Falcons | 44c | 14,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 13,665$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.48 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 40c | 12,996$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.99 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 59c | 12,379$7,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.62 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Team Liquid | 65c | 12,026$7,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 51c | 10,901$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.13 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 10,857$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.17 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Liquid | 80c | 10,682$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.04 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 47c | 9,377$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Liquid | 57c | 9,350$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.47 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 8,832$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.64 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 8,283$5,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.44 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Falcons | 37c | 8,080$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.86 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Team Liquid | 63c | 8,000$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 7,850$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 38c | 7,656$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.86 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 7,653$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 7,331$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.81 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 7,237$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.97 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 6,667$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…30dabacked Team Liquid | 68c | 6,570$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 46c | 6,525$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 6,409$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.18 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Liquid | 64c | 6,305$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.48 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 6,287$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.63 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 6,199$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.35 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Team Liquid | 61c | 6,034$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.06 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 55c | 5,999$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.55 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 5,895$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.66 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed Team Liquid | 50c | 5,672$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 5,553$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.95 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 54c | 5,391$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.63 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…7f2bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 5,200$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 5,162$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.52 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed Team Liquid | 73c | 5,114$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.39 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Team Liquid | 71c | 5,029$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.65 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 4,862$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 4,862$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.36 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed Team Falcons | 22c | 4,795$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 4,666$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.61 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 37c | 4,522$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.15 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Team Liquid | 51c | 4,484$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.74 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Falcons | 20c | 4,444$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 4,398$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 4,375$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.15 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 42c | 4,340$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.41 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 43c | 4,322$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.35 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 4,198$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.6 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Team Falcons | 50c | 4,120$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 4,000$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.35 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Liquid | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Team Liquid | 64c | 3,999$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.17 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Falcons | 1c | 3,903$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Falcons | 31c | 3,900$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…79ddbacked Team Falcons | 4c | 3,870$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 3,805$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Liquid | 67c | 3,788$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.74 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid | 52c | 3,755$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.55 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 3,712$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.9 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Falcons | 38c | 3,684$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Falcons | 41c | 3,621$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 33c | 3,587$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.39 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 30c | 3,536$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.38 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 3,506$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.38 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,500$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.