TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,028,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,700,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,028,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Team Liquid56c655,289$368,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286,471.479733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Team Liquid57c515,311$295,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,785.0512159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Team Liquid39c107,793$41,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,229.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+74.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Falcons45c103,561$46,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,492.0118844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons32c90,000$28,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,744.2447146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons47c70,617$33,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid54c66,638$35,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,653.413960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons43c50,500$21,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,854.9919847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons37c45,905$16,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,875.0647450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8005…16eabacked Team Liquid60c43,105$25,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,241.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc83…08f4backed Team Falcons39c42,797$16,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,846.234461.4%27 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc8…c678backed Team Falcons46c42,342$19,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,551.551266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons39c41,865$16,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,430.5489341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons44c41,847$18,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,526.6722644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Falcons46c40,000$18,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,4003435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons45c39,044$17,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,699.212259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Team Falcons42c38,000$15,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,959.993943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Team Liquid36c35,560$12,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,826.762050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons46c35,000$16,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,180.4841944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Team Falcons45c33,333$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons47c32,457$15,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,238.4627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid44c30,692$13,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,202.2432549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Team Falcons48c30,005$14,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,402.172045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Team Falcons40c30,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0003525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-43.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid52c27,028$14,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,973.4260542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Team Falcons47c26,333$12,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,506.517548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid59c26,234$15,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,780.4827153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c3…bea3backed Team Liquid58c26,161$15,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,942.195459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7045…81b5backed Team Falcons40c25,501$10,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,291.295369.8%37 W · 16 L+9.1wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Falcons32c24,846$7,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,954.6550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f6…25a1backed Team Falcons45c23,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,350520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Falcons59c21,814$12,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,838.162152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons54c21,671$11,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,685.229952.2%156 W · 143 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Team Liquid51c20,974$10,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,215.482347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Team Falcons18c20,570$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.2914825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons57c20,500$11,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,609.9617948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Team Falcons35c20,204$7,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,164.622040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20017452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Team Falcons46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2002552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…5bd5backed Team Falcons46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Team Liquid65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.982653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe760…f2f9backed Team Falcons53c18,910$10,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,115.646251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons45c18,765$8,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,525.9888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1896…a7d6backed Team Liquid53c18,714$9,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,800.193043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Falcons42c18,650$7,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,779.2510540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked Team Falcons42c18,600$7,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8125834.5%20 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Team Falcons47c17,977$8,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,482.058456%47 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid56c17,949$10,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,851.9771143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons46c17,865$8,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,204.237146.4%172 W · 199 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…f2b5backed Team Falcons72c17,798$12,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,765.511752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid80c16,931$13,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.6230667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Team Falcons41c16,870$6,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,866.712948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc6…315dbacked Team Falcons42c16,854$7,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,157.141070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid52c16,352$8,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,923.7780056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid54c15,306$8,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,076.5721155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Team Falcons47c14,560$6,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,869.416726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Team Falcons40c14,240$5,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6961533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Team Falcons72c13,936$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid49c13,930$6,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,113.8923435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Team Falcons44c13,704$6,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,076.467142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons47c13,273$6,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,249.239636.5%35 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons44c13,166$5,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,786.3230336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons42c12,956$5,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,384.5533453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd039…ba3bbacked Team Falcons41c12,857$5,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,213.813844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked Team Falcons35c12,706$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.019052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Team Falcons39c12,105$4,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.953339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed Team Liquid52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7603633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Team Falcons48c11,843$5,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,684.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons32c11,772$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.4419853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Liquid53c11,691$6,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,443.096256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons58c11,661$6,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,785.3148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Falcons28c11,588$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.868348.2%40 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid62c11,531$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,430.5930356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c84…8d22backed Team Liquid53c11,445$6,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,339.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed Team Liquid65c11,409$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,009.073366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Team Falcons69c11,384$7,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,855.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons42c11,377$4,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,738.1618560.5%112 W · 73 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Liquid44c10,774$4,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,033.414148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons19c10,613$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.7818551.4%95 W · 90 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Falcons25c10,134$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.115739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Team Falcons48c10,111$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,852.5610045%45 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons41c10,000$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.011,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Falcons45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5003148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Team Falcons45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Team Liquid54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.995339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Liquid52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.981540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2521…7f2bbacked Team Falcons71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.961936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons50c9,798$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,92548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db4…89bfbacked Team Falcons30c9,760$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.583732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked Team Liquid53c9,479$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,459.278447.6%40 W · 44 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Team Falcons29c9,450$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Liquid73c9,295$6,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.7535361.2%216 W · 137 L-0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid49c9,284$4,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,734.671,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45c3…59bfbacked Team Liquid52c9,250$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Liquid53c9,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.984156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons54c8,838$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.5219456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Team Falcons43c8,636$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.894953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Team Falcons46c8,570$3,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,939.472748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Team Falcons41c8,550$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.54850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.