Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ea3802ada17265002bff37ddc4ea65014d3e37cb80ef2ea8aa2f588a5f78bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,351,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,327,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 29c | 111,714$32,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,967.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 43c | 96,433$41,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,210.23 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 46c | 54,642$25,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,212.37 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 44c | 43,930$19,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,494.65 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 38c | 41,778$15,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,809.89 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 35c | 36,062$12,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,532.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 46c | 33,090$15,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,814.89 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…af25backed No | 59c | 29,168$17,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,245.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 38c | 27,544$10,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,524.64 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 48c | 18,915$9,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,796.64 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 36c | 18,025$6,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,518.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 28c | 17,921$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,898.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 20c | 15,197$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,168.13 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed No | 65c | 15,113$9,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,763.13 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 51c | 14,510$7,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,445.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 45c | 12,054$5,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.77 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…8f4abacked No | 68c | 10,414$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8869…c975backed Yes | 11c | 9,222$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…5272backed No | 75c | 9,216$6,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 72c | 8,444$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.44 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed No | 57c | 7,731$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 39c | 6,514$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.38 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 78c | 6,081$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.29 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed No | 69c | 5,880$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 47c | 5,800$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.42 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 29c | 5,623$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.43 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 64c | 5,606$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.02 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…e01bbacked No | 19c | 4,879$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked No | 61c | 4,280$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…ebd6backed Yes | 20c | 4,265$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +406.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 31c | 4,250$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 27c | 4,194$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.5 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Yes | 55c | 4,063$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…f042backed No | 43c | 3,947$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 30c | 3,864$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed No | 59c | 3,695$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.46 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…ac62backed No | 71c | 3,577$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 40c | 3,500$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.49 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 38c | 3,492$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…3588backed No | 71c | 3,334$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 40c | 3,154$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.17 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4a…e8a3backed Yes | 33c | 3,089$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 13c | 3,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.99 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72c3…25adbacked No | 61c | 2,953$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…1527backed Yes | 44c | 2,877$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 72c | 2,777$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c9…a137backed No | 72c | 2,767$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…5d67backed No | 72c | 2,756$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…a855backed No | 73c | 2,730$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…ab6fbacked No | 72c | 2,719$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…035ebacked No | 71c | 2,605$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…c3f0backed No | 71c | 2,549$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…ba48backed No | 72c | 2,500$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…0022backed Yes | 20c | 2,368$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 52c | 2,286$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed No | 53c | 2,281$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 46c | 2,117$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.03 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 52c | 2,095$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.31 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 29c | 2,008$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.57 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 48c | 2,000$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…f1b3backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Yes | 50c | 1,982$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed No | 68c | 1,913$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.81 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 52c | 1,900$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.3 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,872$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…6dcbbacked No | 21c | 1,847$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 67c | 1,819$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.3 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…f23cbacked No | 42c | 1,806$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…3e6ebacked No | 38c | 1,730$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…4527backed Yes | 30c | 1,709$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…6bc7backed Yes | 41c | 1,654$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.36 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 70c | 1,555$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 75c | 1,549$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 40c | 1,523$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.2 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 13c | 1,519$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.19 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 56c | 1,517$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…371abacked Yes | 72c | 1,489$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…7175backed Yes | 29c | 1,485$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…aa05backed No | 33c | 1,433$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…13f7backed Yes | 12c | 1,416$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +464.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 44c | 1,377$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.45 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 42c | 1,270$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…dd49backed No | 27c | 1,261$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,226$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…6ee8backed Yes | 25c | 1,219$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 62c | 1,200$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…8f35backed No | 40c | 1,200$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…7410backed Yes | 21c | 1,106$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…491bbacked No | 38c | 1,061$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,058$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.32 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…53a4backed Yes | 52c | 1,040$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…726dbacked No | 2c | 1,026$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…9f03backed No | 48c | 1,003$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed No | 73c | 1,000$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…03f3backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.