Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9acc543deb6148979bcf1433326d3c87058183b444e9dc39bab7bced0252c52a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,688,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,496,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,688,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 10c | 192,494$19,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,313.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 20c | 168,395$34,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,384.15 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 10c | 37,008$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 6c | 27,764$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 74c | 26,900$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900.29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…ffa8backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…4527backed Yes | 7c | 23,968$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 11c | 23,647$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 14c | 19,709$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.12 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…c369backed Yes | 7c | 19,341$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Yes | 76c | 16,706$12,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,703.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…ea9dbacked Yes | 12c | 15,722$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…1527backed Yes | 1c | 14,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8869…c975backed Yes | 2c | 13,833$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 58c | 12,360$7,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,195.28 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 12,241$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.62 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…2a65backed Yes | 1c | 11,986$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 7c | 11,111$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…82c0backed Yes | 31c | 10,974$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 25c | 9,508$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.19 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 5c | 8,238$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.54 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,677$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…6bc7backed Yes | 25c | 7,275$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.91 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked Yes | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 11c | 6,897$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.94 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 22c | 6,718$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…951bbacked Yes | 11c | 6,537$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 8c | 5,923$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…b89cbacked No | 50c | 5,871$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,689$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 15c | 5,593$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 4c | 5,443$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 75c | 5,397$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.67 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 35c | 5,362$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.42 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 4,724$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 78c | 4,251$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.18 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 14c | 4,021$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.28 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked No | 77c | 3,897$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…b213backed Yes | 45c | 3,242$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 57c | 3,144$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.69 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…8e52backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6e62backed Yes | 38c | 2,864$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 1c | 2,845$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,814$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.49 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 13c | 2,671$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.83 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…2371backed Yes | 18c | 2,593$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…c2a0backed No | 44c | 2,552$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 16c | 2,250$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…f3f0backed Yes | 16c | 2,169$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 2c | 2,109$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 1c | 2,108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…779fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,029$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 11c | 1,974$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.97 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c3…25adbacked No | 57c | 1,926$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d18…c7e2backed Yes | 43c | 1,901$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked No | 67c | 1,895$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 9c | 1,819$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…cd5bbacked No | 60c | 1,635$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked No | 68c | 1,628$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 67c | 1,600$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.11 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…dd2fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,593$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a3f1backed Yes | 16c | 1,571$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +148%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 4c | 1,522$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 14c | 1,508$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.09 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…f1b3backed No | 62c | 1,500$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes | 76c | 1,498$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.65 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 17c | 1,430$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,400$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4098…f922backed Yes | 20c | 1,344$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 53c | 1,322$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 12c | 1,265$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…230abacked Yes | 35c | 1,238$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.53 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 73c | 1,233$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…c231backed Yes | 42c | 1,221$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…5fe1backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…84fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,185$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed Yes | 34c | 1,173$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…13f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,146$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +464.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,129$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.32 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…a9e0backed No | 45c | 1,080$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…e66cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,050$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…81d6backed Yes | 51c | 1,031$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…cceabacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 35c | 992.83$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 2c | 948.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfe…1ed1backed Yes | 31c | 943.95$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 69c | 937.53$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.44 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.