Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddcb43ad492c73b19e209a8dad0ed88b65bdafb90c1a626be13983ffd8202902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 59c | 43,174$25,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,635.1 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…9d5cbacked No | 43c | 32,783$14,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,096.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 62c | 12,553$7,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776.26 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…e40ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 77c | 6,065$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.85 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 42c | 4,811$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.95 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d21…e10cbacked No | 23c | 4,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 69c | 4,141$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.37 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 15c | 3,548$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.8 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Yes | 62c | 3,449$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 17c | 3,406$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.86 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 68c | 3,147$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.35 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 74c | 2,934$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 28c | 2,625$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 48c | 2,622$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…ef92backed No | 56c | 2,224$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 20c | 1,600$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 23c | 1,550$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 59c | 1,166$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 75c | 1,032$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…5416backed No | 33c | 1,018$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…fa0dbacked No | 45c | 1,000$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 72c | 991.21$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…b1e2backed No | 33c | 983.82$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked No | 26c | 961.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ae…8e81backed No | 2c | 782.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…8624backed No | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 52c | 716.44$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.24 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 75c | 664.33$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 66c | 660.66$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 43c | 658.91$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2c…5f75backed No | 46c | 657.8$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…4465backed No | 2c | 639.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 37c | 566.08$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked No | 42c | 472.44$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d9…23f3backed Yes | 54c | 379.56$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f81…86efbacked No | 21c | 350$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c3…25adbacked Yes | 72c | 341.81$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…b152backed Yes | 61c | 323.36$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed No | 43c | 311.22$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 58c | 307$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Yes | 63c | 302.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…f17abacked No | 36c | 264.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…95a9backed No | 54c | 250.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…c65cbacked No | 24c | 217.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed No | 27c | 217.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac5…852cbacked No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…41b8backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Yes | 76c | 180.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…ce35backed No | 29c | 179.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…2dedbacked No | 55c | 175.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 38c | 159.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…0550backed No | 63c | 155.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…bd9bbacked No | 28c | 148.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…c875backed No | 48c | 136.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…6af4backed No | 54c | 131.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 33c | 128.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…b22fbacked Yes | 77c | 124.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…4681backed No | 50c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 69c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe2…dd2ebacked No | 35c | 114.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602f…7f3abacked No | 11c | 107.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked Yes | 75c | 103.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…9599backed No | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c0…91afbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83f…8530backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…04a0backed Yes | 63c | 98.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…c771backed Yes | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 89.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…d769backed No | 35c | 87.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…b4a9backed No | 45c | 83.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked No | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 28c | 76.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…8405backed No | 52c | 68.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…50a1backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…ac5fbacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa8…107bbacked Yes | 55c | 58.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed9…4a79backed No | 35c | 55.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…ac15backed No | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…a5e7backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…c377backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb12…d2b1backed Yes | 70c | 49.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…d8b1backed Yes | 80c | 49.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…c318backed No | 45c | 41.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…79dbbacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe383…b39dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…cd46backed No | 53c | 37.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.