TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd673…2305

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3470.6%24 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+103%+$15.35
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.86
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)backed SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.42
Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5)backed Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.3
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$59.07
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$57.73
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.2
LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$52.33
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)backed SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+54%+$81.79
LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$34.86
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.29
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs EXSAD Gaming (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$28.85
LoL: ⁠Hooligans vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked The Secret Club Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$13.13
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked DIA Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$31.78
LoL: MAGAZA vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked MAGAZA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$35.55
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$102.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$18.7
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$6.63
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+224.6%+$59.55
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$18.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$25.79
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlinbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+406.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+406.3%+$157.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$61.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$9.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.