Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a3bcdbd168e04b59406dd868b3d305ce1687c6e802dbbbeffc5ece1c23191e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb75…446dbacked Yes | 36c | 3,013$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…5e0bbacked No | 74c | 2,805$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…dd88backed Yes | 41c | 2,455$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,744$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826e…2bebbacked No | 72c | 1,378$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 60c | 1,352$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.84 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…9b38backed Yes | 37c | 1,299$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 23c | 1,270$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 24c | 1,200$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 1,178$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 67c | 1,045$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.15 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…5019backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe304…4de0backed Yes | 5c | 975$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…0e39backed Yes | 5c | 970$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…b76fbacked Yes | 5c | 968$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…f255backed Yes | 5c | 968$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…6cdfbacked Yes | 5c | 965$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d02…1eeebacked Yes | 5c | 950$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…c84bbacked Yes | 5c | 946$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 881.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 846.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 827.24$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 61c | 820$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…ea66backed Yes | 5c | 810$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…c62dbacked Yes | 5c | 810$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…72c6backed Yes | 5c | 810$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…51b7backed Yes | 5c | 810$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…85c1backed Yes | 5c | 809.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…2bc2backed Yes | 4c | 805$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe26…88cabacked Yes | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…a58dbacked Yes | 5c | 794.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…4aeabacked Yes | 5c | 790$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…0714backed Yes | 5c | 790$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…88d1backed Yes | 5c | 789.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 25c | 787.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…7ea2backed Yes | 5c | 781.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…16febacked Yes | 5c | 780$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +311.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…13d8backed Yes | 5c | 780$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…110fbacked Yes | 5c | 780$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…7549backed Yes | 5c | 775$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…ffc0backed Yes | 5c | 752.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…7039backed Yes | 15c | 715.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…27e3backed Yes | 5c | 680$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…0e1fbacked Yes | 5c | 680$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…5797backed Yes | 5c | 670$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…437abacked Yes | 5c | 661$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…e92bbacked Yes | 5c | 660$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada0…667ebacked Yes | 5c | 660$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…66bbbacked Yes | 5c | 660$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…01c0backed Yes | 5c | 657.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…92b4backed Yes | 5c | 657$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…aa01backed Yes | 5c | 654$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…8d86backed Yes | 5c | 654$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…b727backed Yes | 5c | 652$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd534…4651backed Yes | 5c | 652$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…6c24backed Yes | 5c | 640$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…15c6backed No | 62c | 601.37$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…612fbacked Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 69c | 598.75$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 74c | 589.9$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 63c | 570.14$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 27c | 564.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 27c | 546.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 28c | 545.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 68c | 541.4$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 60c | 460.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 79c | 438.26$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd53…8dd1backed No | 75c | 425.82$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 57c | 410.89$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 80c | 403.67$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…2e56backed Yes | 5c | 399.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed Yes | 39c | 392.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 357.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…ed25backed Yes | 12c | 319.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…123cbacked No | 71c | 316.14$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…e413backed Yes | 36c | 312.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…24b8backed Yes | 23c | 310$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…4228backed No | 66c | 304.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4153…c423backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…ca1fbacked No | 67c | 298.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 284.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 78c | 255$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 34c | 252.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 249.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 58c | 242.44$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…a114backed No | 65c | 239.55$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…02d8backed Yes | 15c | 238$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 6c | 232.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 70c | 213.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 212.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 57c | 201.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…c03cbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0f0bbacked No | 79c | 189.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed No | 65c | 185.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?this page
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Yes won
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.