Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf624b8d67bce042fb362808e371c625ddae78112f150ce58b546f75249f83f41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3034…dd88backed Yes | 26c | 2,191$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 49c | 1,917$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.81 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 75c | 1,698$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…612fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,625$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 75c | 1,304$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.74 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 46c | 1,245$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.44 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,210$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 25c | 1,199$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,041$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 34c | 975.59$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.81 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 69c | 943.41$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 76c | 875.99$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.51 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 47c | 771.39$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.45 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 669.41$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.78 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…ffc6backed No | 45c | 604.61$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 77c | 599.16$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 22c | 573.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.06 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 53c | 530.17$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…7039backed Yes | 31c | 483.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…24b8backed Yes | 21c | 481.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…ed25backed Yes | 27c | 463.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…15c6backed No | 74c | 454.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 401$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 392.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ba…4cedbacked No | 75c | 367.04$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…5f49backed No | 78c | 362$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 73c | 360.51$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…fc58backed No | 78c | 347$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 73c | 332.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac6…b2edbacked Yes | 24c | 332.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…216ebacked No | 78c | 321$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…2776backed No | 78c | 318$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905b…c9d1backed No | 73c | 308.41$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 277$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe678…82b8backed No | 78c | 277$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 78c | 269.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed No | 76c | 262.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 257.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd53…8dd1backed No | 45c | 249.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…9303backed Yes | 22c | 221.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…80f6backed No | 70c | 215.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…7851backed No | 75c | 200.48$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…57d5backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…82cfbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 76c | 196.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…f231backed Yes | 54c | 194.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 40c | 193.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 71c | 179.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed No | 77c | 176.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed No | 74c | 164.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…e55dbacked No | 43c | 163.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…7234backed No | 72c | 163.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 37c | 157.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 60c | 154.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 28c | 145.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…f77fbacked Yes | 44c | 126.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…981bbacked No | 77c | 125.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…3407backed No | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…072ebacked Yes | 28c | 124.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 65c | 121$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x028c…bc32backed No | 67c | 118.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…c150backed Yes | 27c | 116.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 20c | 115.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 75c | 114.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…b23ebacked No | 67c | 111.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b4…624ebacked No | 27c | 106.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 56c | 106.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…c55dbacked Yes | 25c | 105.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 74c | 104$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…3280backed Yes | 29c | 103.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…eba3backed Yes | 30c | 102$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6934…0aa7backed No | 75c | 100.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…48e5backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9014backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 76c | 94.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…123cbacked No | 67c | 94.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 12c | 93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 73c | 91.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…bdc6backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…83e5backed Yes | 22c | 90$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked Yes | 37c | 89.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…178abacked Yes | 21c | 85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 23c | 84.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 38c | 83.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7092…7b4ebacked No | 77c | 81.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 30c | 78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked No | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…a949backed Yes | 29c | 74.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +10.1wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 40c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…2f21backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?this page
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.