TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2889…fc69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT7541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$6.97
Will Dricus Du Plessis win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$124.99
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Song Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.27
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.79
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+219.4%+$59.39
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$202.99
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$239.99
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,287.5%+$4,374.54
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,583.69
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+474.5%+$3,392.06
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.06
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.31
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,728
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.47
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.6
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,389Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$704.8
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.99
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.37
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$88.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.28
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,453.77
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$182
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.54
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.98
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,201.09
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.9
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.99
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.66
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.75
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.39
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$349.64
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$266.15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$116.39
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+568.9%+$111.34
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.11
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$223.2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$118.49
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$30.8
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+240%+$100.24
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$39.9
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+339.9%+$168.77
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$46.2
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.33
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$5.99
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+78.6%+$220
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+29.4%+$63.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+41.5%+$176
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$272.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+35%+$10.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.