UFC · resolved market

UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6346726f787a4c6504dfb793afb17e767a060db639b98d53adbb93cf9c7cd108

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Gregory Rodriguesof Gregory Rodrigues, Brunno Ferreira
Resolved: Mar 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $988,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $988,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 581 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Gregory Rodrigues	62c	507,276$312,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195,258.89	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Brunno Ferreira	38c	250,000$95,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95,799.96	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Brunno Ferreira	40c	144,877$57,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,356.46	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Brunno Ferreira	38c	103,644$39,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,384.57	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	83,299$32,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,486.8	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Gregory Rodrigues	60c	74,505$44,703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,802.02	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	52,042$20,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,296.56	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Gregory Rodrigues	62c	48,141$29,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,293.52	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	40,000$24,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,600.26	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Brunno Ferreira	40c	21,219$8,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,487.43	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	20,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,000	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Brunno Ferreira	38c	18,888$7,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,177.44	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Brunno Ferreira	39c	17,000$6,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,599.97	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	16,309$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,408.74	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	14,834$8,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,960.86	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	14,528$5,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,811.38	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Gregory Rodrigues	59c	14,075$8,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,770.92	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Gregory Rodrigues	61c	12,787$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,986.92	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	11,000$4,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,510	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Gregory Rodrigues	59c	10,489$6,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,250.55	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Brunno Ferreira	40c	10,000$3,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,949.96	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Gregory Rodrigues	59c	10,000$5,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,059.87	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Gregory Rodrigues	60c	9,877$5,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,950.8	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	8,033$4,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,219.34	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	7,658$4,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,063.2	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	7,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	6,789$2,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,706.47	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Brunno Ferreira	38c	6,488$2,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,465.27	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Gregory Rodrigues	60c	6,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	6,000$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,460	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e29…8931backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	5,735$2,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,237.15	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb353…19bebacked Brunno Ferreira	39c	5,359$2,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,090.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…b339backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	4,605$1,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	4,450$2,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,780.14	49	81.6%40 W · 9 L	+10.4wins	+0.21per pick	60cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xaf4e…1783backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	4,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	4,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.99	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	3,810$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.39	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	3,500$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	63	54%34 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Brunno Ferreira	40c	3,400$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,363.99	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661b…17babacked Gregory Rodrigues	60c	3,332$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,332.67	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	3,279$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.69	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	3,059$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Gregory Rodrigues	61c	3,000$1,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Brunno Ferreira	39c	3,000$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Gregory Rodrigues	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	2,768$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.52	75	28%21 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Brunno Ferreira	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+8.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Brunno Ferreira	37c	2,515$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.08	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Brunno Ferreira	41c	2,500$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfed2…4671backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	2,463$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.26	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Brunno Ferreira	41c	2,439$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6352…6726backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	2,400$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	2,104$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.79	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Brunno Ferreira	38c	2,100$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Gregory Rodrigues	61c	2,091$1,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a0…85eebacked Brunno Ferreira	2c	2,061$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Brunno Ferreira	38c	2,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2e…56d9backed Brunno Ferreira	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a39…9e71backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	1,973$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Gregory Rodrigues	59c	1,970$1,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.69	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Brunno Ferreira	39c	1,968$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.24	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…d183backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	1,700$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…8faebacked Gregory Rodrigues	62c	1,662$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.3	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	1,600$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c988backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	1,533$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.76	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	1,500$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	1,500$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	1,500$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Brunno Ferreira	40c	1,500$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.99	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	1,475$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.41	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Brunno Ferreira	38c	1,379$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.12	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164e…c2a2backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	1,348$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.48	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.6wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+64.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	1,250$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.5	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	1,220$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Brunno Ferreira	43c	1,138$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.87	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	1,100$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.99	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718c…50eabacked Gregory Rodrigues	62c	1,040$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.32	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5203…0312backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	1,039$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…e39cbacked Brunno Ferreira	2c	1,024$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	1,000$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Gregory Rodrigues	59c	992.03$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.67	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	950.88$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.86	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-5.4wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	916.67$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.67	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Brunno Ferreira	38c	900$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-3.9wins	-0.21per pick	33cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	834.53$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.48	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Brunno Ferreira	39c	820.51$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	819.67$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.67	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	819.67$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.67	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5f…b574backed Gregory Rodrigues	61c	812.08$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.71	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Gregory Rodrigues	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	800$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Gregory Rodrigues	60c	799.98$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.99	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Brunno Ferreira	39c	763.51$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.4	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Brunno Ferreira	41c	750.61$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.75	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	36cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Brunno Ferreira	40c	742.44$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.59	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Brunno Ferreira win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Gregory Rodrigues win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event