NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f4803091b5649363fd979e6cfba25a6f1daba1079e4e56b6f9391d4aa1fe766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $966,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $980,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $966,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 50c | 128,011$64,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,490.73 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Over | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Under | 51c | 100,000$50,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,399.96 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 48c | 92,522$44,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,410.52 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 50c | 70,912$35,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,327.56 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 64,933$31,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,776.59 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 52c | 48,077$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,076.92 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 46,002$22,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,691.1 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 19c | 44,701$8,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470.28 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 51c | 41,013$20,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,096.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 40,160$19,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,978.37 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Over | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.96 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 26,237$13,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,764.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 24,000$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,759.97 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 51c | 17,300$8,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,477 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…4e8cbacked Under | 50c | 16,970$8,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,485 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 16,722$6,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 50c | 15,377$7,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,670.82 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 50c | 14,400$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 14,361$7,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,156.78 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 50c | 13,306$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,641.63 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Over | 16c | 13,015$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 51c | 11,020$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.61 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 51c | 10,539$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.53 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.95 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Under | 57c | 9,581$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 54c | 8,220$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Under | 73c | 8,196$5,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.93 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 50c | 7,856$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.03 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 7,722$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.04 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Over | 72c | 7,505$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.75 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 49c | 7,014$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.47 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 5,995$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.6 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Under | 50c | 5,983$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 50c | 5,446$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Over | 0c | 5,030$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 50c | 4,963$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 78c | 4,888$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.42 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,512$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 30c | 4,473$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.84 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…01b4backed Under | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 4,048$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.8 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 72c | 4,040$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…54d0backed Under | 76c | 3,830$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 3,755$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 3,420$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.71 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Under | 42c | 3,295$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Over | 23c | 3,075$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 2,706$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.78 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,670$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 51c | 2,587$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.63 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 51c | 2,427$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.25 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 40c | 2,323$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.92 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 2,287$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.51 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 50c | 2,278$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.08 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 50c | 2,199$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.65 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 41c | 2,175$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.54 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Under | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…27a7backed Under | 49c | 2,073$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 31c | 2,067$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.48 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 49c | 2,056$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.83 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 49c | 2,053$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 1,993$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.89 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 1,983$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.03 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 52c | 1,904$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 22c | 1,812$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…267abacked Over | 51c | 1,663$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 70c | 1,564$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 27c | 1,537$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.02 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 1,467$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.57 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 51c | 1,464$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.57 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 60c | 1,417$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.07 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Over | 36c | 1,398$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 59c | 1,393$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.74 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 1,389$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 49c | 1,339$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.25 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,294$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.