TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$966,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$980,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $966,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under50c128,011$64,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,490.735940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Over50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under51c100,000$50,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,399.963844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over48c92,522$44,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,410.5232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over50c70,912$35,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,327.564951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c64,933$31,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,776.591,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under52c48,077$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,076.929945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c46,002$22,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,691.164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over19c44,701$8,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,470.2856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under51c41,013$20,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,096.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c40,160$19,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,978.371,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Over49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.9618651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c26,237$13,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,764.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c24,000$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,759.9715952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0005935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over50c20,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Under51c17,300$8,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,47710949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fc…4e8cbacked Under50c16,970$8,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over42c16,722$6,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,987.92,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under52c16,000$8,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,68048352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c15,377$7,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,670.8220155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under50c14,400$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c14,361$7,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,156.7821943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under50c13,306$6,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,641.634042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…ad6dbacked Over16c13,015$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under51c13,000$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3703467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under51c11,020$5,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.6119359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under51c10,539$5,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.5349244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.959159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9211654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under57c9,581$5,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.852650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over54c8,220$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,43927549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Under73c8,196$5,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.936152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c8,000$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,88089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over50c7,856$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.036233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over44c7,722$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.042,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Over72c7,505$5,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,378.759354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under49c7,014$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.4720744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over34c5,995$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99aa…6c5abacked Under50c5,983$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.3514251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under50c5,446$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7234951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…f517backed Over0c5,030$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.973040%12 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under50c4,963$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.423540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under78c4,888$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.4224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c4,512$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under30c4,473$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.841,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…01b4backed Under50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c4,048$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Over72c4,040$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.582268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over49c4,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.992748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fb…54d0backed Under76c3,830$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.84875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over32c3,755$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.63,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c3,420$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.711,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Under42c3,295$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.32356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Over23c3,075$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.31346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c2,706$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.781,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked Over49c2,670$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under51c2,587$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.635358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under51c2,427$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.2543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over40c2,323$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.9236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c2,287$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.5152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under50c2,278$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.94445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over50c2,222$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.088744.8%39 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under50c2,199$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.6517551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over41c2,175$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.541,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0082171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e20…27a7backed Under49c2,073$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over31c2,067$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.481,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over49c2,056$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.8352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over49c2,053$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.744463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Under42c2,000$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.881471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under51c1,993$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.8930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c1,983$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.0384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under52c1,904$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over22c1,812$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8226753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeef…267abacked Over51c1,663$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8481020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over70c1,564$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c1,537$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c1,467$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.5726648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under51c1,464$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.575655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over60c1,417$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.0752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Over36c1,398$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under59c1,393$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7416555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c1,389$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Under50c1,350$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.132560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over49c1,339$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.2515648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,294$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.972,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.