TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c76…c926backed No52c2,500$1,300 inWon+$1,2002,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17db…d0fcbacked Yes38c1,828$695 inLost-$69510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No63c1,554$972 inWon+$581.9965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed No65c1,317$855 inWon+$461.941471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes47c1,316$618 inLost-$617.9936954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Yes39c790.38$311 inLost-$310.724254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No65c608.51$398 inWon+$210.7439265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Yes37c570$213 inLost-$212.547237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1410…9cadbacked Yes33c532.27$176 inLost-$176.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked No70c426.37$300 inWon+$126.3725850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked No63c246.41$155 inWon+$91.172429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No61c245.9$150 inWon+$95.951,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked No64c235.53$151 inWon+$84.413764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No61c230$140 inWon+$89.743752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No65c200$130 inWon+$7060267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No62c200$124 inWon+$769975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No54c179.41$98 inWon+$81.8733049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No76c174.11$132 inWon+$42.5376054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No63c166.67$105 inWon+$62.1118853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed Yes37c155.45$57 inLost-$57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes35c141.28$50 inLost-$49.889941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes34c132.54$45 inLost-$455750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No64c120$76 inWon+$43.833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed No68c120$82 inWon+$38.42568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No64c99.99$64 inWon+$36.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a03…4066backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost-$301070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Yes34c73.32$25 inLost-$24.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes35c71.42$25 inLost-$253354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No50c64.26$32 inWon+$32.1319352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No66c60.4$40 inWon+$20.8192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked No51c52.09$26 inWon+$25.611250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df9…3a84backed No60c50$30 inWon+$203470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No52c49.48$26 inWon+$23.7537652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No66c43.67$29 inWon+$14.933356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No65c41.51$27 inWon+$14.6216369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0b81…cdc0backed No62c27.32$17 inWon+$10.32922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No75c26.28$20 inWon+$6.639100%9 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed No67c15.25$10 inWon+$4.993360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No67c15$10 inWon+$4.9526957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.