NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168e6f6b6eb9dc9025ce6543dd7d6574efd1ff90a8aaa35ce799c64cb5ffdab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Thunder | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs | 74c | 18,757$13,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.14 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Spurs | 72c | 17,680$12,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.27 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 28c | 12,595$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 26c | 11,352$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.57 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Thunder | 27c | 10,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Spurs | 74c | 8,846$6,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 80c | 7,914$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Thunder | 28c | 7,214$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.96 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Thunder | 27c | 5,728$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.89 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 74c | 5,361$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.98 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 75c | 4,553$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.25 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 74c | 4,225$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.08 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Thunder | 25c | 4,212$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 74c | 2,013$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.26 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Spurs | 73c | 1,844$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Spurs | 74c | 1,781$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.09 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Thunder | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 73c | 1,341$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Thunder | 27c | 924.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…6dd8backed Thunder | 22c | 847.27$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 26c | 833.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Thunder | 27c | 743.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 77c | 584.01$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 15c | 546.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Spurs | 75c | 426.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 74c | 415.65$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Spurs | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Thunder | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Thunder | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Thunder | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Thunder | 15c | 252$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 74c | 237.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…e656backed Thunder | 27c | 209.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d5…8863backed Thunder | 26c | 207.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 17c | 201.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 26c | 200.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…a534backed Thunder | 26c | 195.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Thunder | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Thunder | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs | 73c | 170.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs | 74c | 163.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…5fbdbacked Thunder | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Thunder | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3843…6f2fbacked Thunder | 27c | 123.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 26c | 119.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Spurs | 73c | 113.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…e6fabacked Thunder | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Thunder | 27c | 109.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs | 74c | 105.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Thunder | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Thunder | 27c | 102.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…50c5backed Spurs | 75c | 101.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Spurs | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…6b0fbacked Thunder | 27c | 100.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Thunder | 26c | 95.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Spurs | 74c | 94.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…411cbacked Thunder | 26c | 90.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Spurs | 75c | 90.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Spurs | 74c | 90.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Thunder | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Thunder | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Spurs | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs | 73c | 66.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…5276backed Spurs | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…1d04backed Spurs | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…e7b4backed Thunder | 27c | 56.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…8cd7backed Spurs | 73c | 54.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Spurs | 74c | 50.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Thunder | 26c | 50.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Spurs | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Spurs | 79c | 42.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Spurs | 75c | 39.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Spurs | 74c | 31.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 79c | 28.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Spurs | 74c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs | 74c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…1733backed Spurs | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…30e2backed Spurs | 75c | 24.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Spurs | 74c | 23.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Spurs | 74c | 20.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Spurs | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 73c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs | 73c | 18.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Spurs | 73c | 17.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Spurs | 75c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs | 75c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Spurs | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Spurs | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.