NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df6e33ba5d91d4d7fed304c6844557f535bfd23cc8cafc4aa13720762c5db1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $932,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,142,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $932,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 55c | 224,123$122,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,995.12 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 44c | 199,715$87,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,877.77 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs | 51c | 170,506$87,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,111.37 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 48c | 125,867$59,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,911.68 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs | 43c | 95,511$40,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,627.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 49c | 64,742$31,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,909.01 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 56c | 51,931$29,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,047.05 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 56c | 41,584$23,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,449.41 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 56c | 25,626$14,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,394.38 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Spurs | 44c | 18,888$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,577.28 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 44c | 17,045$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,545.45 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 53c | 16,597$8,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800.54 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 57c | 15,619$8,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,894.63 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 53c | 15,059$8,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,028 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 51c | 13,250$6,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,485.01 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 51c | 11,999$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,839.56 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 45c | 9,713$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.08 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Thunder | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Thunder | 58c | 8,500$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 56c | 7,500$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 52c | 7,349$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.43 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 45c | 6,680$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.27 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Spurs | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Thunder | 0c | 5,036$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Thunder | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 56c | 4,816$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 59c | 4,259$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.01 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Thunder | 48c | 3,885$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 57c | 3,751$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.73 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Thunder | 50c | 3,570$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 56c | 3,490$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Thunder | 55c | 3,096$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.77 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 44c | 2,602$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.67 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Thunder | 39c | 2,502$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 36c | 2,354$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.64 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 45c | 2,337$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.36 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 43c | 2,176$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.9 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f908backed Spurs | 43c | 2,001$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 43c | 1,887$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.57 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 54c | 1,865$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.85 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 54c | 1,812$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.7 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Thunder | 57c | 1,625$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.1 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 57c | 1,544$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.08 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 43c | 1,541$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.19 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 45c | 1,513$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.1 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 56c | 1,449$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.63 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Thunder | 52c | 1,343$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 54c | 1,323$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.22 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs | 55c | 1,303$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.45 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 68c | 1,266$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.25 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Thunder | 57c | 1,138$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.63 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Thunder | 57c | 1,128$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.84 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,090$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Spurs | 66c | 1,067$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.64 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 67c | 1,060$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.73 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 65c | 1,004$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.82 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Thunder | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 42c | 978.93$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.78 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 57c | 973.68$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Thunder | 57c | 966.54$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.93 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 65c | 948.37$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.93 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Spurs | 58c | 900$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 56c | 885.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 54c | 871.46$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.04 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Spurs | 50c | 842.71$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.64 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Spurs | 44c | 830$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thunder | 58c | 809.19$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.33 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 43c | 800$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.06 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Spurs | 55c | 726.11$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.35 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Thunder | 57c | 714.29$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.15 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…a6aabacked Spurs | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Spurs | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Spurs | 43c | 633$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 54c | 621.1$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder | 49c | 610.69$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Spurs | 44c | 606.82$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.82 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Thunder | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Thunder | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Spurs | 54c | 576.74$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6767backed Thunder | 3c | 555.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Thunder | 45c | 526.33$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Spurs | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Thunder | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Thunder | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Thunder | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Thunder | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 47c | 467.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Spurs | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Spurs | 47c | 426.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 43c | 420.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…1accbacked Spurs | 44c | 413.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Spurs | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Thunder | 43c | 406.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…5eeabacked Thunder | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.