NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f89bf6ef675ea71c4402ccb736d6f14b5c4b1fe26eabbb4406efe3cfb3f20e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 41c | 14,493$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.92 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 58c | 8,503$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder | 43c | 4,705$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Spurs | 59c | 3,900$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 62c | 3,061$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.23 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Thunder | 40c | 2,791$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.33 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Spurs | 60c | 2,781$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Spurs | 63c | 2,025$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.86 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Spurs | 66c | 1,972$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.92 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Spurs | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked Spurs | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 41c | 1,159$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.25 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spurs | 57c | 1,072$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.98 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Spurs | 80c | 990.6$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 59c | 940.68$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs | 57c | 921$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Spurs | 59c | 712.46$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 60c | 665$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.65 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Spurs | 59c | 641.49$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Spurs | 59c | 607.39$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Spurs | 59c | 502.9$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Thunder | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Thunder | 30c | 335.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 75c | 327.22$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Thunder | 41c | 320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Thunder | 31c | 271.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Spurs | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Thunder | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Spurs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Spurs | 65c | 188$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Spurs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Thunder | 42c | 157.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaca…23d7backed Thunder | 34c | 145.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Spurs | 59c | 132.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs | 58c | 114.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Spurs | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…4b85backed Spurs | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Thunder | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Spurs | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Spurs | 60c | 88.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…d608backed Thunder | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Spurs | 59c | 71.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Spurs | 60c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Thunder | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 279 | 42.7%119 W · 160 L | -14.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Spurs | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Spurs | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Thunder | 42c | 59.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Thunder | 28c | 51.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Spurs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Spurs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Spurs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Spurs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Spurs | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746b…ae65backed Thunder | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Thunder | 45c | 44.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…6fdfbacked Thunder | 30c | 42.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Spurs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Spurs | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Spurs | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…91d4backed Spurs | 59c | 31.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Spurs | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thunder | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Spurs | 69c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.