TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72de…4b85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5271.2%37 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51%+$15.27
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$9.19
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49%+$58.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$10.15
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$6.84
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.53
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$12.18
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$49.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$102.97
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$34.15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$119.52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$43.58
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$27.5
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.62
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$10.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,580
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,877.76
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.18
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,806
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.67
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.44
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$710
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+191.7%+$460
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.49
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$595
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+114%+$615.73
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.79
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.77
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.02
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$102.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$248.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.37
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.37
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$307.14
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$12.56
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$18.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$179.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.