TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,234,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,192,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,234,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99ae…386fbacked Yes27c724,437$195,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194,999.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+75.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No73c561,320$408,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,483.8874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes32c157,371$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c138,016$100,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,376.682,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c86,975$25,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,7538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes26c80,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,8003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Yes4c75,261$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.193324.2%8 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No74c67,550$50,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,254.321,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c59,232$15,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,749.221,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No73c53,705$39,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,486.319948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c45,046$32,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,100.991,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No73c43,541$31,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,756.0236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed No74c40,800$30,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6089451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No73c40,000$29,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No74c40,000$29,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9120044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c38,638$28,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,432.2276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No73c37,985$27,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,255.8222139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c34,275$25,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,091.7429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No67c31,917$21,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,534.0349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes11c30,586$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.333,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No68c27,116$18,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,693.1442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No71c21,614$15,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,268.058440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x138f…657ebacked Yes26c20,554$5,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,344633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+89%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c3…b28dbacked Yes26c19,231$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No73c19,050$13,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,143.59247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca1…c008backed Yes27c16,667$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No78c16,483$12,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.4931945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c13,759$10,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.891,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c13,134$9,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,577.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No73c12,000$8,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes26c11,851$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.6765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe2…2c95backed Yes32c10,732$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.712045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes32c9,375$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19de…e917backed Yes33c9,100$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0032722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c8,718$6,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes31c8,630$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.5636634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No69c8,500$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,66535033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes31c8,065$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes2c8,001$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.01953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No75c7,846$5,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.5224950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No73c7,800$5,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1063638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked No74c7,650$5,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.994738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb334…1ae1backed Yes11c7,565$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800205%1 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-82.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c6,867$5,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.662,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No74c6,555$4,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.635851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02c…ffd5backed Yes26c6,550$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7031241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No73c6,507$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Yes33c5,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No73c5,760$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53637850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes26c5,681$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4776633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes8c5,565$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.961,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes27c5,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4856152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked No73c5,500$4,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.9715044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f4fbacked Yes5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9922229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No70c5,000$3,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.176835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100120%0 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c4,999$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.877269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes33c4,701$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.4456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No73c4,416$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.3226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e20…d6ddbacked Yes32c4,393$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes26c4,291$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.0273626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Yes28c4,212$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1802828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c4,200$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Yes26c4,192$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.943528.6%10 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c4,187$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.2579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes1c4,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5925821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes26c4,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5c…174ebacked Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005450%27 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No73c3,600$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf6…00a1backed Yes31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…b7d7backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Yes33c3,021$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.939045.6%41 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9823255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be0…9ac7backed No74c2,999$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.753366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x235b…af09backed Yes34c2,970$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No72c2,950$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.5784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75c…975cbacked Yes26c2,923$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.956735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c2,917$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.2674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c2,903$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes26c2,885$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No68c2,701$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.326061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c2,601$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.7793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No75c2,573$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.1541968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5161…bf33backed Yes32c2,565$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8305827.6%16 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73b2…63cabacked Yes26c2,437$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-77.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1f…f22dbacked Yes33c2,424$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes3c2,416$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4838819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes2c2,400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5615127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No73c2,400$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64839050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe6…7027backed No73c2,390$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+121.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Yes26c2,308$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004228.6%12 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes3c2,272$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8930117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.