TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x235b…af09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6,120
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,048Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$4,897.1
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.82
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Germany vs. Finland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.89
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.88
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$79.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.02
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+382.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+382.7%+$84.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.