Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44a24f419afb104bcc23c9d19b6ba9cc8131029bbc4889be9313b56aed227a58

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: South Africaof Mexico, South Africa
Resolved: Jun 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $496,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $493,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,308 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed South Africa	70c	129,319$91,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,236.37	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico	19c	87,219$16,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,795.67	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Mexico	45c	66,686$30,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,065.03	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mexico	27c	51,317$13,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,873.59	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235b…af09backed South Africa	74c	18,945$14,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,897.1	15	40%6 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Mexico	27c	18,684$5,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,061.29	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed South Africa	69c	13,945$9,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,288.09	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Mexico	48c	11,879$5,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,757.14	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Mexico	19c	11,136$2,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,159.05	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Africa	61c	10,898$6,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,222.08	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Mexico	30c	9,724$2,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,887.25	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Africa	54c	9,633$5,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,421.32	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Mexico	19c	5,684$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed South Africa	58c	5,571$3,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,345.16	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Mexico	19c	5,555$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.45	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Mexico	19c	5,204$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mexico	19c	5,195$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.97	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Mexico	43c	3,549$1,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,511.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5da9…f4c3backed Mexico	20c	3,357$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.52	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed South Africa	70c	2,858$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.65	47	74.5%35 W · 12 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Mexico	20c	2,770$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.06	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed South Africa	73c	2,603$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.74	125	54.4%68 W · 57 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked South Africa	80c	2,281$1,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.2	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Mexico	18c	2,174$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.3	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mexico	34c	2,153$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.24	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Mexico	19c	1,884$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked South Africa	66c	1,883$1,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.07	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Mexico	22c	1,818$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed South Africa	56c	1,800$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.93	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Mexico	38c	1,744$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.08	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mexico	20c	1,619$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.45	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Mexico	32c	1,615$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.7	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Mexico	44c	1,615$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.09	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a3…8652backed Mexico	19c	1,516$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Mexico	36c	1,355$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.93	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Mexico	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked South Africa	50c	1,313$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.5	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed South Africa	71c	1,269$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.51	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Mexico	20c	1,255$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed South Africa	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d8…47acbacked Mexico	30c	1,230$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.98	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked South Africa	71c	1,182$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.02	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Mexico	43c	1,159$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Mexico	43c	1,130$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.47	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Mexico	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Mexico	37c	1,041$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.6	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Mexico	20c	1,007$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.46	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed South Africa	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Mexico	19c	999.99$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked South Africa	58c	910.26$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.31	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+6.0wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Mexico	31c	892.78$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.9	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Mexico	27c	699.8$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.98	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Mexico	19c	681.42$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.47	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked South Africa	64c	666.41$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed Mexico	41c	665.99$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.06	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.21per pick	33cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Mexico	44c	600$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Mexico	28c	568.49$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.48	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mexico	19c	546$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.64	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x816a…8df4backed Mexico	20c	535.9$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.18	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Mexico	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5dd…642abacked Mexico	29c	522.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked South Africa	64c	516.83$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.86	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab8…c4cbbacked Mexico	19c	511.05$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d8…4f6cbacked Mexico	20c	502.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc310…0966backed South Africa	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Mexico	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Mexico	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de4…0e3fbacked Mexico	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Mexico	19c	499.93$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.99	232	30.2%70 W · 162 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Mexico	34c	493.44$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.28	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Mexico	36c	482.31$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.87	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5d…d028backed Mexico	19c	463.16$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	34cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mexico	19c	461.19$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.22	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf0c…f7e4backed Mexico	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed South Africa	75c	450$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked South Africa	77c	448.06$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.31	429	52%223 W · 206 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01d8…9eccbacked Mexico	20c	448$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64b…15b2backed Mexico	19c	438.46$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9044…dcedbacked Mexico	17c	430$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.1	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Mexico	26c	422.1$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.78	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Mexico	45c	400$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	225	51.6%116 W · 109 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Mexico	19c	400$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Mexico	37c	396.84$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.7	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked South Africa	63c	396.84$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.83	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed South Africa	80c	395$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Mexico	28c	370.19$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.34	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd0…c253backed South Africa	76c	364.14$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mexico	24c	350.33$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.08	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Mexico	20c	343.75$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.39	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Mexico	28c	342.49$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.69	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Mexico	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	62.6%67 W · 40 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked South Africa	73c	317.13$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.6	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked South Africa	71c	311.19$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.09	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Mexico	39c	310$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.1	334	43.4%145 W · 189 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Mexico	46c	304.88$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.24	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48a…68b9backed Mexico	19c	300.47$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.09	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…79b6backed Mexico	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Mexico	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed South Africa	77c	292.16$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.31	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed South Africa	66c	277.26$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.17	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)this page
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Mexico won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event