TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over6c7,362$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under72c5,456$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.3522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1d…4162backed Under57c2,900$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5421…f713backed Over45c2,210$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over43c1,882$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.2986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under55c1,240$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.1416633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under58c999.97$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9923230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over37c889.91$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Under57c879.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0713447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c815.12$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.212,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under75c718.75$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over45c688.89$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3108353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Over29c552.66$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2714130.5%43 W · 98 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under56c538.13$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.671,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9460…4e55backed Over9c520.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.72616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Under58c520.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.443743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over43c500$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21732629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over12c484$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over45c475$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7511642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ed…68babacked Over45c437.73$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.982142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf488…0c6dbacked Over46c436.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under57c383.35$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8410359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over14c356.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over43c335.59$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2513729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under73c312.84$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.552965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under76c308.81$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.214,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dea…8acfbacked Under57c300.82$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e11…834cbacked Over45c295.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.841450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over41c292.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.97545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over42c269.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.573,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over41c267.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.621,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x443a…9b83backed Over48c257.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0179…adcdbacked Under59c254.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.421877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.516240.1%65 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over45c249.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.520337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab54…da9fbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Under73c209.26$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c195.2$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed Under57c186$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.873951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdda5…c82abacked Under56c177.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.285056%28 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over46c174.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under54c166.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under62c161.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.315143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under61c160.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.213461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…c66cbacked Under68c147.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over41c140$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.718448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Over45c131.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.33542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over43c121$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2341344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Over46c119.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.087528%21 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd8…01f0backed Over45c116.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…a705backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Over44c100.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.289631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456918.8%13 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456671.2%47 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4412815.6%20 W · 108 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4632642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4314049.3%69 W · 71 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.991,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over43c93.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.14641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Under56c88.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.654916.3%8 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc506…4c2dbacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Over29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…4ad8backed Over42c72.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.254860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Under56c71.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.397248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd47…8c6ebacked Over37c67.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Under60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe824…cf0cbacked Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e55…cac1backed Under56c60.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.571323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Under58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3418243.4%79 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Under55c57.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410f…57febacked Over45c55.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.914042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x148e…fb74backed Over45c54.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x115f…f51dbacked Under57c52.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.325151%26 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc788…393ebacked Over44c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Over39c51.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209733%32 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2210834.3%37 W · 71 L-19.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4932254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1a…261ebacked Over44c48.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290f…0c10backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over31c46.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2842952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015046.7%70 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under59c37.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4823443.6%102 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Under56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8413955.4%77 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…a97ebacked Under57c35.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1818751.9%97 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9134…bed9backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeeb2…ca8ebacked Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158222%18 W · 64 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1927…63edbacked Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Under71c33.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7322550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe522…8c25backed Over45c33.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.023351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154374.4%32 W · 11 L+10.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5b6d…db4fbacked Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e0…10cfbacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.