TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,596 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over63c7,613$4,828 inLost-$4,828.091,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed Under33c2,000$660 inWon+$1,3401968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a91…a79bbacked Under35c1,095$383 inWon+$711.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under33c1,018$333 inWon+$684.6818642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under32c1,016$329 inWon+$686.714744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Under57c1,005$573 inWon+$432.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf994…fe7cbacked Under35c722.22$253 inWon+$469.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Over69c412.18$285 inLost-$285.414130.5%43 W · 98 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over67c399.99$268 inLost-$267.991,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878d…adc4backed Under34c315.65$107 inWon+$208.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under33c277.89$92 inWon+$186.192,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ca…35f7backed Under35c182.86$64 inWon+$118.862470.8%17 W · 7 L+6.6wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under32c156.25$50 inWon+$106.2513268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0878…5c4abacked Over58c34.48$20 inLost-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Over58c27.72$16 inLost-$16.082552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over69c23.38$16 inLost-$16.1120186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.