TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over19c27,329$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,316.841,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Under79c12,701$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.8510959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under80c8,913$7,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.6939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c8,217$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under72c7,297$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.3912554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c3,965$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.513,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over23c3,459$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.632,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over26c3,271$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.91,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over12c3,235$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0718837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c3,209$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.162,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under79c2,895$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.9540649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c2,804$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over19c2,654$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over17c2,343$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over21c2,274$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7910242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over14c2,079$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.994,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over22c2,000$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43245421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over8c1,881$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2628964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under78c1,624$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.273,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c1,416$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.72,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over3c1,360$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.62544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over12c1,298$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under77c1,155$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.165466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under79c1,012$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d8…47acbacked Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3309821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over17c999.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over18c934.44$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0946012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under80c927.15$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.82,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b7…c4d2backed Under79c924.56$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.165664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c08…c202backed Over22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over21c896.53$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.276533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over11c884.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3117223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over18c844.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over20c798.16$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.071,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under71c750$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.510471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over16c742.31$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.661,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Under79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9119324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over20c630.15$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81bc…fcfabacked Under80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over23c610.83$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4910832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over22c597.49$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.451,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011217%19 W · 93 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over23c543.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Over23c540.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.329036.7%33 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under78c525.66$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.041,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Under78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11015654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b9…8913backed Over22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over13c489.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0842126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Over12c482.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.935721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f2…f86fbacked Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over21c476.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over21c475$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.757027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over21c467.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007243.1%31 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e91…91a4backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…d588backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb496…6f10backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-50.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7151…6717backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under78c429.77$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8768141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under77c422.73$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.651,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under78c415.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf93…0d84backed Under68c408.53$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over22c396$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.121323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over7c370.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4943230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under79c363$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.237356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaef9…9b3dbacked Under79c363$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.235658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over32c354.44$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4211027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4933120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa3…0b0cbacked Over23c344.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over24c337.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over23c333$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4610260.8%62 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.228326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61dd…bb24backed Over9c308$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-79.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Under80c304.46$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9217149.1%84 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under67c299.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9917255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…5c86backed Over22c299.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over17c299$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8322226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over33c295.42$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.492445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under68c292.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1229529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…ba23backed Under80c290.61$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.12650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over21c282.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.261,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…6a8ebacked Under78c261.54$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.541090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+49%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over15c260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86d…c9eebacked Under78c256.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under79c254.43$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4311355.8%63 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over13c249$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.431,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under78c243.59$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5927951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Over14c232.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5626534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf15d…0fa4backed Over22c221.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.662010%2 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.