TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67bc…5c86

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT8241.5%34 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.19
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.99
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.3
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.22
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+154%+$97
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$109.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$73.42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$99.02
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$115.79
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.57
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$93.59
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.8
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$296
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$111.8
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.76
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.01
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$249.6
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 22 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick33cpaid-78.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Feverbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.53
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+149.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$30.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.