MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5cb530c6ae7fb76fc164332a64718818a5397ac27c2e0eea2a674c83af57c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,082,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,128,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,082,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0b7…5441backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 336,920$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed New York Yankees | 48c | 271,491$130,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,175.42 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 213,992$111,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,135.92 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,599.94 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Yankees | 49c | 51,020$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,020.41 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 28,940$11,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,655.7 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 67c | 27,044$17,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,056.7 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 41c | 26,928$10,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,013.56 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 24,185$12,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,384.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 16,312$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 14,571$7,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,576.79 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed New York Yankees | 48c | 12,620$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,561.31 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked New York Yankees | 66c | 11,530$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 9,840$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.4 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Yankees | 57c | 9,341$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.57 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 37c | 8,928$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.14 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 8,084$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 7,913$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…b62cbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 7,060$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 6,299$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 6,090$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.44 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 5,608$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Yankees | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.89 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 5,379$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 5,209$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.82 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 4,760$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.09 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 50c | 4,514$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 4,509$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…775fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 4,399$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Yankees | 40c | 4,364$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.22 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,830$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,667$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked New York Yankees | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 3,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed New York Yankees | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 3,249$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,050$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.5 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 3,003$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,728$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.32 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 48c | 2,623$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 2,589$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…abffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 2,587$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,561$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.66 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees | 46c | 2,409$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.82 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 2,304$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.28 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,304$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.71 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,259$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.74 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,238$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 63c | 2,089$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 1,974$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.27 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…34cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,453$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.95 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,351$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,290$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.95 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,234$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 1,142$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.94 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…1fe9backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 1,109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,073$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.51 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 1,054$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.06 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,048$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.37 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,026$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.42 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…b714backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked New York Yankees | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 992.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 966.01$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…f035backed New York Yankees | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 851.37$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked New York Yankees | 71c | 836.67$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed New York Yankees | 54c | 832.81$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.01 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 817.28$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 809$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.68 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 48c | 799.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 791.85$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 764.7$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…86cdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…3b60backed New York Yankees | 48c | 748.92$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 736.54$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed New York Yankees | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed New York Yankees | 66c | 730$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 700.49$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 679.24$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 673.47$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 669.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 651.43$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 634.08$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Yankees | 48c | 605$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 596.29$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 62c | 586.43$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed New York Yankees | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.